Fri, Mar 3, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
New Jersey Devils 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 87% of the time.
9%
84%
VGK winsNJD wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tatar–Hischier–Mercer | Wood–Bastian–McLeod | Haula–Palat–Boqvist | Bratt–Sharangovich–Hughes | Palat–Bratt–Hughes | Wood–Bratt–Hughes | Bastian–McLeod–Boqvist | Bratt–Boqvist–Hughes | Graves–Marino | Hamilton–Siegenthaler | Severson–Bahl | Siegenthaler–Bahl | Hamilton–Severson | Hamilton–Graves | Severson–Marino | Siegenthaler–Marino | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marchessault–Barbashev–Eichel | 2:240.00–0.52 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 1:150.05–0.09 | 2:150.38–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.10 | 4:340.14–0.55 | 2:470.29–0.16 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Smith–Karlsson–Amadio | 1:080.00–0.33 | 1:540.28–0.02 | 1:530.07–0.00 | 0:520.08–0.00 | 1:250.03–0.22 | 2:410.00–0.02 | 1:140.08–0.18 | 2:280.29–0.00 | 0:450.09–0.17 | |||||||
| Blueger–Kolesar–Howden | 2:050.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.01 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 1:160.00–0.17 | 2:290.00–0.01 | 1:330.00–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Marchessault–Stephenson–Eichel | 2:230.13–1.15 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 4:460.13–0.12 | |||||||||||||
| Blueger–Barbashev–Kolesar | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.09 | 3:120.09–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Kessel–Stephenson–Carrier | 0:440.00–0.27 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.19 | 0:510.00–0.04 | 0:570.00–0.08 | ||||||||||
| Kessel–Stephenson–Barbashev | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kessel–Smith–Karlsson | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:060.10–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Smith–Marchessault–Eichel | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:340.10–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Blueger–Carrier–Kolesar | 0:440.01–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.29 | 1:130.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kessel–Karlsson–Stephenson | 1:060.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Kessel–Stephenson–Howden | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pietrangelo–Hague | 3:280.01–1.20 | 1:260.09–0.00 | 1:230.10–0.00 | 1:050.14–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.20 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 4:120.23–0.03 | 2:490.09–0.02 | 2:530.19–0.00 | 1:050.09–0.00 | ||||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 3:000.01–0.30 | 1:220.01–0.01 | 1:300.00–0.09 | 1:160.18–0.07 | 3:450.01–0.31 | 2:360.19–0.16 | 1:290.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Martinez–Theodore | 0:340.00–0.15 | 1:410.16–0.06 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.02 | 2:500.16–0.03 | 2:170.15–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.10 | ||||||||
| Martinez–Pietrangelo | 1:200.00–0.35 | 2:010.00–0.39 | 2:290.15–0.41 | 2:530.00–0.44 | 1:560.15–0.04 | 1:010.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.39 | |||||||||
| Hague–Whitecloud | 0:460.00–0.08 | 1:300.00–0.01 | 2:430.07–0.01 | 2:200.00–0.17 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 2:330.07–0.09 | ||||||||||
| McNabb–Whitecloud | 2:060.15–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 3:530.13–0.18 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Martinez–Whitecloud | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 30 | 26:31 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 | |
| 31 | 25:23 | 0:49 | 1:57 | 1 | 5 | |
| 29 | 24:01 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 2 | 4 | |
| 27 | 23:03 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 4 | 1 | |
| 25 | 22:44 | 0:55 | 3:01 | 4 | 1 | |
| 29 | 22:07 | 0:46 | 2:15 | 4 | 4 | |
| 26 | 21:52 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 5 | 0 | |
| 31 | 21:40 | 0:42 | 1:55 | 3 | 3 | |
| 25 | 21:27 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 | |
| 26 | 20:51 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 | |
| 28 | 20:07 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 | |
| 26 | 20:03 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 2 | 3 | |
| 29 | 19:56 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 | |
| 24 | 19:43 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 | |
| 24 | 18:47 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 0 | 4 | |
| 23 | 18:11 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 17:47 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 5 | 0 | |
| 27 | 17:39 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 17:31 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 3 | 5 | |
| 23 | 16:56 | 0:44 | 2:02 | 3 | 5 | |
| 25 | 16:46 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 1 | 2 | |
| 24 | 16:35 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 | |
| 21 | 15:42 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 0 | 3 | |
| 20 | 15:15 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 5 | 2 | |
| 19 | 15:07 | 0:48 | 2:07 | 2 | 1 | |
| 25 | 14:54 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 14:47 | 0:59 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 | |
| 21 | 14:31 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 14:06 | 0:40 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 | |
| 19 | 13:43 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 18 | 12:15 | 0:41 | 0:57 | 2 | 2 | |
| 17 | 11:31 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 | |
| 13 | 10:00 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12 | 9:53 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:35 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 2 | 3 | |
| 7 | 5:08 | 0:44 | 1:45 | 0 | 1 |