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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 4, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Detroit Red Wings 1, New York Islanders 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 76% of the time.

NYI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:03Shot by Fasching, saved by Hellberg
  3. P1 0:40Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hellberg
  4. P1 0:44Shot by Engvall, saved by Hellberg
  5. P1 1:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Hellberg
  6. P1 2:12Shot by Parise, saved by Hellberg
  7. P1 3:38Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellberg
  8. P1 6:16Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hellberg
  9. P1 6:49Shot by Bailey, saved by Hellberg
  10. P1 7:42Shot by Chiarot, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 8:02Shot by Kubalik, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 9:11Shot by Lee, saved by Hellberg
  13. P1 9:52Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellberg
  14. P1 9:56Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellberg
  15. P1 10:02Shot by Horvat, saved by Hellberg
  16. P1 10:08Shot by Lee, saved by Hellberg
  17. P1 11:02Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:12Dobson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Dobson · DET Walman, Veleno, Zadina, Berggren, Seider

  19. P1 11:39Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin4v5
  20. P1 14:01Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 14:35Shot by Lee, saved by Hellberg
  22. P1 16:46Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Hellberg
  23. P1 18:34Fabbri: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Engvall · DET Perron, Copp, Fabbri, Walman, Seider

  24. P1 19:15Shot by Palmieri, saved by Hellberg5v4
  25. P1 19:38Shot by Erne, saved by Sorokin5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:26Shot by Palmieri, saved by Hellberg5v4
  29. P2 3:45Shot by Lee, saved by Hellberg
  30. P2 3:59Shot by Mayfield, saved by Hellberg
  31. P2 6:28Shot by Fabbri, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 8:45Shot by Koivula, saved by Hellberg
  33. P2 8:50Shot by Aho, saved by Hellberg
  34. P2 9:39Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellberg
  35. P2 9:44Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellberg
  36. P2 9:46Shot by Romanov, saved by Hellberg
  37. P2 10:15Horvat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov · DET Perron, Copp, Hagg, Oesterle, Fabbri

  38. P2 11:24Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin4v5
  39. P2 12:49Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 13:07Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 13:55Shot by Martin, saved by Hellberg
  42. P2 17:19Shot by Fabbri, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 18:25Horvat: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov · DET Perron, Copp, Hagg, Oesterle, Larkin, Fabbri

  44. P2 18:59Goal by Larkin (Seider, Fabbri)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech · DET Perron, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:12Shot by Horvat, saved by Hellberg
  48. P3 2:08Shot by Aho, saved by Hellberg
  49. P3 2:11Goal by Parise (Aho, Palmieri)+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Aho, Dobson · DET Chiasson, Erne, Hagg, Oesterle, Suter

  50. P3 4:33Shot by Engvall, saved by Hellberg
  51. P3 4:39Goal by Lee (Fasching, Cizikas)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Lee, Pelech, Fasching, Pulock · DET Perron, Chiarot, Maatta, Larkin, Raymond

  52. P3 5:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Hellberg
  53. P3 5:53Shot by Chiasson, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 6:42Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 8:28Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 9:03Shot by Aho, saved by Hellberg
  57. P3 9:33Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 10:19Shot by Berggren, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 14:14Shot by Zadina, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 14:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 15:00Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 15:17Perron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech, Fasching, Horvat · DET Perron, Chiarot, Maatta, Larkin, Raymond

  63. P3 15:24Shot by Palmieri, saved by Hellberg5v4
  64. P3 15:41Goal by Palmieri (Dobson, Nelson)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Dobson · DET Copp, Walman, Suter, Seider

  65. P3 17:22Goal by Lee (Bailey)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond

  66. P3 18:18Shot by Suter, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 19:03Shot by Koivula, saved by Hellberg
  68. P3 19:42Shot by Veleno, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 19:55Shot by Chiarot, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final