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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 7, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 82% of the time.

PIT winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Petry, saved by Merzlikins
  4. P1 2:16Rutta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Kulikov, Nylander, Rutta, O'Connor · CBJ Olivier, Bayreuther, Robinson, Boqvist, Sillinger

  5. P1 2:20Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  6. P1 2:52Shot by Laine, saved by Jarry4v5
  7. P1 3:11Shot by Jenner, saved by Jarry4v5
  8. P1 3:18Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Jarry4v5
  9. P1 4:02Goal by Bemstrom (Sillinger, Johnson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Petry, Bonino, Dumoulin, Archibald · CBJ Roslovic, Bemstrom, Johnson, Sillinger, Blankenburg

  10. P1 5:58Shot by Petry, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 6:35Shot by Carter, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 7:11Shot by Letang, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 7:52Shot by Foudy, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 7:54Goal by Pederson (Foudy)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kulikov, Zucker, Heinen, Rutta · CBJ Pederson, Peeke, Bayreuther, Bemstrom, Foudy

  15. P1 8:24Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 10:11Goal by Laine (Roslovic, Johnson)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Pettersson, Heinen · CBJ Roslovic, Laine, Peeke, Bayreuther, Johnson

  17. P1 12:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 16:54Shot by Carter, saved by Merzlikins
  19. P1 17:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:20Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hutchinson
  23. P2 1:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry
  24. P2 2:37Goal by Foudy (Bemstrom)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Petry, Guentzel, Pettersson, Heinen · CBJ Pederson, Peeke, Bemstrom, Foudy, Blankenburg

  25. P2 2:48Shot by Kulikov, saved by Hutchinson
  26. P2 3:29Shot by Bonino, saved by Hutchinson
  27. P2 3:49Shot by Roslovic, saved by DeSmith
  28. P2 4:35Shot by Olivier, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 6:48Shot by Heinen, saved by Hutchinson
  30. P2 6:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Hutchinson
  31. P2 8:14Shot by Sillinger, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 9:22Shot by Rakell, saved by Hutchinson
  33. P2 9:40Shot by Blankenburg, saved by DeSmith
  34. P2 9:47Shot by Marchenko, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 10:10Shot by Archibald, saved by Hutchinson
  36. P2 10:23Goal by Zucker (Malkin, Nylander)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Pettersson, Nylander · CBJ Gudbranson, Roslovic, Laine, Berni, Johnson

  37. P2 10:45Shot by Laine, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 11:25Shot by Heinen, saved by Hutchinson
  39. P2 12:42Shot by Boqvist, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 13:21Shot by Rakell, saved by Hutchinson
  41. P2 13:25Shot by Pettersson, saved by Hutchinson
  42. P2 13:30Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hutchinson
  43. P2 15:00Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Hutchinson
  44. P2 16:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hutchinson
  45. P2 16:08Laine: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Joseph · CBJ Roslovic, Laine, Bayreuther, Boqvist, Johnson

  46. P2 18:12Shot by Petry, saved by Hutchinson
  47. P2 18:49Shot by Bonino, saved by Hutchinson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:21Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Rakell)+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · CBJ Roslovic, Laine, Peeke, Johnson, Blankenburg

  51. P3 0:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Hutchinson
  52. P3 1:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Hutchinson
  53. P3 1:57Shot by Bemstrom, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 2:46Shot by Rutta, saved by Hutchinson
  55. P3 3:15Shot by Malkin, saved by Hutchinson
  56. P3 3:16Goal by Zucker (Malkin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Dumoulin, Zucker, Nylander · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Bayreuther, Boqvist, Marchenko

  57. P3 3:59Goal by Heinen (Rakell, Crosby)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Petry, Dumoulin, Rakell, Heinen · CBJ Gudbranson, Olivier, Robinson, Berni, Sillinger

  58. P3 4:10Shot by Petry, saved by Hutchinson
  59. P3 4:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Hutchinson
  60. P3 5:27Shot by Kulikov, saved by Hutchinson
  61. P3 8:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutchinson
  62. P3 9:14Shot by Sillinger, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 11:21Shot by Bemstrom, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 11:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutchinson
  65. P3 11:50Shot by Laine, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 12:00Shot by Gudbranson, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 12:14Shot by Heinen, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 12:29O'Connor: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Petry, Dumoulin, Heinen, O'Connor · CBJ Pederson, Bayreuther, Bemstrom, Foudy, Blankenburg

  69. P3 12:51Shot by Archibald, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  70. P3 13:05Shot by Jenner, saved by DeSmith4v5
  71. P3 13:56Shot by Johnson, saved by DeSmith4v5
  72. P3 14:43Shot by Roslovic, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 15:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Hutchinson
  74. P3 17:50Shot by Petry, saved by Hutchinson
  75. P3 18:17Shot by Malkin, saved by Hutchinson
  76. P3 18:22Shot by Heinen, saved by Hutchinson
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:40Shot by Letang, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  80. OT 1:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Hutchinson3v3
  81. OT 1:13Jenner: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Zucker · CBJ Gudbranson, Jenner, Johnson

  82. OT 1:39Shot by Malkin, saved by Hutchinson4v3
  83. OT 1:55Shot by Crosby, saved by Hutchinson4v3
  84. OT 2:14Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hutchinson4v3
  85. OT 2:45Goal by Crosby (Malkin)4v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Guentzel · CBJ Gudbranson, Peeke, Robinson

  86. OT 2:45Period end4v4
  87. OT 2:45Final