Tue, Mar 7, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 68% of the time.
61%
25%
NJD winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25:55 | 0.47 | 35.6% | +74.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.06 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.61 | 34.8% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.01 | 41.9% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.29 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.04 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.38 | 45.5% | +64.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.12 | 73.3% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.01 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.12 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.15 | 45.3% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.38 | 41.4% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.09 | 38.4% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.02 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:11 | 0.00 | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.95 | +0.9 | 59:16 |
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 22:53 | 0.52 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.15 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.07 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.06 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:23 | 0.53 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.13 | 25.1% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.46 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.25 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.05 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.44 | 93.1% | +84.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.22 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.47 | 92.9% | +84.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.03 | 78.1% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.10 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.13 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.16 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:07 | 0.16 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.77 | −1.2 | 57:56 |