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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 1:17Shot by Trouba, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 1:54Shot by Chytil, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 5:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 7:27Shot by Vesey, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 9:38Shot by Schneider, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 10:07Shot by Jost, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 10:58Shot by Power, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 12:00Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 12:09Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 12:40Shot by Motte, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 13:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 17:41Shot by Mikkola, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:06Shot by Okposo, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P2 1:13Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P2 1:28Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P2 1:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P2 2:54Trouba: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Greenway, Stillman, Thompson, Power · NYR Kane, Kreider, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  22. P2 3:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  23. P2 7:10Shot by Kreider, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P2 7:52Goal by Skinner (Lyubushkin, Thompson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Greenway, Thompson, Lyubushkin, Power · NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Motte, Miller

  25. P2 9:32Shot by Jost, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 11:28Goal by Kane (Miller, Trouba)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · NYR Kane, Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  27. P2 13:20Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 13:36Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 13:55Shot by Quinn, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 14:52Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 16:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 17:59Shot by Olofsson, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 18:03Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 19:03Girgensons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · NYR Kreider, Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller

  35. P2 19:53Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  36. P2 19:55Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  37. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:51Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  40. P3 1:05Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P3 1:23Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P3 1:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P3 2:18Shot by Quinn, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P3 2:51Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 3:24Shot by Schneider, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 4:30Shot by Kreider, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 4:53Shot by Mikkola, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 4:56Shot by Fox, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 5:36Shot by Quinn, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 5:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 5:46Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 5:53Shot by Chytil, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 6:15Shot by Miller, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 6:30Shot by Greenway, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 7:13Shot by Jost, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 8:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P3 8:43Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 9:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 9:50Mittelstadt: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Stillman, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson · NYR Kane, Goodrow, Mikkola, Fox, Lafrenière

  60. P3 10:48Shot by Trocheck, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  61. P3 10:49Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  62. P3 13:02Kreider: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Mikkola, Fox, Kakko

  63. P3 13:49Shot by Olofsson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  64. P3 19:18Shot by Peterka, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 19:23Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. OT 0:00Period start
  68. OT 1:12Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)3v4

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · NYR Kane, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  69. OT 1:45Shot by Fox, saved by Luukkonen3v4
  70. OT 1:52Shot by Panarin, saved by Luukkonen3v4
  71. OT 2:02Goal by Panarin (Fox, Zibanejad)3v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · NYR Kane, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  72. OT 2:02Period end4v4
  73. OT 2:02Final