Sat, Mar 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Rangers 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
48%
9%
9%
34%
BUF winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:29 | 0.16 | 32.6% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 36.1% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.37 | 21.1% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.02 | 33.1% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.07 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.23 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:05 | 0.55 | 23.0% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.21 | 26.4% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.10 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.14 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.13 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.07 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.14 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.12 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.08 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.99 | +2.0 | 61:53 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:01 | 0.10 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.13 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.01 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.24 | 58.7% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.17 | 59.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.21 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.12 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 55.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.41 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:42 | 0.66 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.22 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.30 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.25 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.03 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.07 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.59 | +0.6 | 62:02 |