Tue, Mar 14, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Montréal Canadiens 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 88% of the time.
83%
8%
PIT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:00 | 0.11 | 19.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:52 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.17 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 19.8% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.09 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.49 | 40.2% | +4.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 37.7% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 22.0% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.46 | 51.3% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:51 | 0.27 | 52.5% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.03 | 31.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 14.6% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.11 | 12.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 31.3% | +41.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.07 | 6.8% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:02 | 0.02 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.23 | 31.8% | +29.2 |
| W | 43 | 39 | 4 | .907 | 4.95 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 26:00 | 0.18 | 87.2% | +48.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 24:09 | 0.06 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:14 | 0.56 | 85.3% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.26 | 90.4% | +17.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −2 | 6 | 20:02 | 0.96 | 83.6% | +50.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.47 | 88.3% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.25 | 48.4% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.35 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.05 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:47 | 0.55 | 88.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.12 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:18 | 0.44 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:16 | 0.11 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 8:28 | 0.31 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 6:23 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 5:53 | 0.28 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 1.16 | +0.2 | 38:31 | |
| – | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 0.53 | −3.5 | 20:00 |