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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Minnesota Wild 8, St. Louis Blues 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 60% of the time.

STL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Hartman, saved by Binnington
  3. P1 3:15Shot by Blais, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 3:16Shot by Blais, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 4:43Goal by Buchnevich (Krug, Tucker)+18 pts WP

    On ice: STL Krug, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kapanen, Tucker · MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Dumba, Hartman, Walker

  6. P1 5:21Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Binnington
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Steel, saved by Binnington
  8. P1 6:31Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Binnington
  9. P1 9:03Shot by Reaves, saved by Binnington
  10. P1 9:10Shot by Krug, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 10:21Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Binnington
  12. P1 11:08Shot by Vrana, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 11:30Buchnevich: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Leddy, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kapanen, Tucker · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Walker, Addison

  14. P1 11:45Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Binnington4v5
  15. P1 12:08Shot by Boldy, saved by Binnington4v5
  16. P1 12:09Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Binnington4v5
  17. P1 12:10Goal by Eriksson Ek (Boldy, Hartman)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Kapanen · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  18. P1 12:26Shot by Pitlick, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 12:27Goligoski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Pitlick, Krug, Walker, Tucker, Alexandrov · MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Sundqvist, Gaudreau, Steel

  20. P1 13:01Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Binnington5v4
  21. P1 14:10Goal by Vrana (Krug, Binnington)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Krug, Vrana, Blais, Kyrou · MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Merrill, Hartman

  22. P1 14:41Kyrou: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Leddy, Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas, Toropchenko · MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Dumba, Hartman, Walker

  23. P1 17:50Merrill: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Scandella, Pitlick, Faulk, Walker, Alexandrov · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Walker, Addison

  24. P1 17:53Goal by Vrana (Kyrou, Schenn)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Krug, Vrana, Blais, Kyrou · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek

  25. P1 19:01Shot by Parayko, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 19:21Shot by Dumba, saved by Binnington
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:35Shot by Schenn, saved by Fleury
  30. P2 0:40Shot by Saad, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 1:09Shot by Saad, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 1:35Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 2:17Shot by Hartman, saved by Binnington
  34. P2 2:58Shot by Vrana, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 4:45Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Binnington
  36. P2 4:54Goal by Klingberg (Johansson, Eriksson Ek)+14 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Blais · MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Klingberg, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  37. P2 5:21Shot by Thomas, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 6:02Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Binnington
  39. P2 6:03Shot by Steel, saved by Binnington
  40. P2 6:04Shot by Steel, saved by Binnington
  41. P2 6:05Goal by Sundqvist (Steel, Gaudreau)+20 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Krug, Kyrou, Thomas, Toropchenko · MIN Merrill, Sundqvist, Gaudreau, Steel, Addison

  42. P2 6:52Goal by Shaw (Reaves, Eriksson Ek)+21 pts WP

    On ice: STL Scandella, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kapanen, Tucker · MIN Reaves, Merrill, Eriksson Ek, Shaw, Addison

  43. P2 7:36Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Binnington
  44. P2 8:20Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 8:28Shot by Tucker, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 9:55Klingberg: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kapanen, Kyrou · MIN Merrill, Sundqvist, Gaudreau, Steel, Addison

  47. P2 11:02Shot by Shaw, saved by Binnington5v4
  48. P2 11:24Goal by Buchnevich (Thomas, Krug)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: STL Krug, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kyrou, Thomas · MIN Johansson, Merrill, Dumba, Hartman

  49. P2 11:28Vrana: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Vrana, Kapanen · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Dumba, Hartman, Walker

  50. P2 12:16Shot by Klingberg, saved by Binnington4v5
  51. P2 12:25Goal by Hartman (Zuccarello)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  52. P2 12:25Hartman: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  53. P2 12:25Fleury: Goalie leave crease (2 min)5v4

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  54. P2 12:25Binnington: Goalie leave crease (2 min)5v4

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  55. P2 12:25Binnington: Match penalty (5 min)5v4

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  56. P2 13:16Shot by Klingberg, saved by Greiss4v4
  57. P2 13:58Goal by Goligoski (Boldy, Steel)4v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Faulk, Parayko, Kyrou · MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Steel, Boldy

  58. P2 14:40Schenn: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Scandella, Schenn, Faulk, Saad · MIN Zuccarello, Klingberg, Dumba, Hartman, Boldy

  59. P2 16:56Shot by Johansson, saved by Greiss4v5
  60. P2 17:26Shot by Reaves, saved by Greiss
  61. P2 18:02Shot by Kyrou, saved by Fleury
  62. P2 18:09Sundqvist: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Krug, Blais, Kyrou, Thomas, Tucker · MIN Goligoski, Dumba, Sundqvist, Gaudreau, Steel

  63. P2 19:59Shot by Hartman, saved by Greiss5v4
  64. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:49Shot by Parayko, saved by Fleury
  67. P3 1:30Shot by Parayko, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 1:59Shot by Kapanen, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 2:01Shot by Scandella, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 2:24Goal by Reaves (Goligoski, Dewar)+6 pts WP

    On ice: STL Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas, Toropchenko, Tucker · MIN Goligoski, Reaves, Dumba, Shaw, Dewar

  71. P3 2:36Shot by Alexandrov, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 3:05Shot by Klingberg, saved by Greiss
  73. P3 3:22Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Greiss
  74. P3 3:41Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 4:58Shot by Thomas, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 5:24Shot by Walker, saved by Greiss
  77. P3 6:30Shaw: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Scandella, Kyrou, Toropchenko, Tucker, Alexandrov · MIN Reaves, Merrill, Gaudreau, Shaw, Addison

  78. P3 7:06Shot by Vrana, saved by Fleury5v4
  79. P3 8:20Shot by Saad, saved by Fleury5v4
  80. P3 8:30Goal by Hartman, unassisted5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Saad, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas · MIN Zuccarello, Merrill, Dumba, Hartman

  81. P3 11:02Shot by Leddy, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 11:11Shot by Kyrou, saved by Fleury
  83. P3 12:59Shot by Tucker, saved by Fleury
  84. P3 13:01Shot by Pitlick, saved by Fleury
  85. P3 14:01Shot by Saad, saved by Fleury
  86. P3 14:14Goal by Buchnevich (Faulk, Thomas)0 pts WP

    On ice: STL Scandella, Faulk, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas · MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Klingberg, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  87. P3 16:04Shot by Merrill, saved by Greiss
  88. P3 18:38Shot by Kyrou, saved by Fleury
  89. P3 19:28Shot by Pitlick, saved by Fleury
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final