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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 16, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 67% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 2:51Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, Tarasenko)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · PIT Crosby, Petry, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  4. P1 5:23Shot by Trouba, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 5:34Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 5:36Pettersson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson

  7. P1 6:01Shot by Granlund, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  8. P1 8:07Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 8:33Shot by Goodrow, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 8:49Shot by Panarin, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Mikkola, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 12:33Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 12:41Shot by Pettersson, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 13:50Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 15:27Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 15:54Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 18:09Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 18:20Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 18:41Shot by Kakko, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 18:54Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 19:59Shot by Miller, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:28Shot by Pettersson, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 1:41Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 4:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 5:20Shot by Schneider, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 5:29Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 8:10Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 8:41Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 9:18Shot by Archibald, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 9:27Shot by Carter, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 9:32Shot by Poehling, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 10:49Shot by Motte, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 11:18Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 11:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 11:59Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 14:06Shot by Granlund, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 14:40Goal by Rakell (Crosby)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson

  40. P2 16:53Goal by Motte, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Motte, Miller · PIT Carter, Letang, Archibald, Joseph, Poehling

  41. P2 18:05Shot by Panarin, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 18:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 19:21Pettersson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Harpur, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière · PIT Granlund, Pettersson, Nylander, Rutta, O'Connor

  44. P2 19:58Shot by Fox, saved by Jarry5v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:09Shot by Trouba, saved by Jarry5v4
  48. P3 1:51Shot by Mikkola, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 3:06Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Jarry
  50. P3 3:13Shot by Trouba, saved by Jarry
  51. P3 3:37Shot by Kakko, saved by Jarry
  52. P3 4:03Shot by Kane, saved by Jarry
  53. P3 7:42Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 8:04Shot by Archibald, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 8:45Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 9:09Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Rakell)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox · PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson

  57. P3 9:38Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 10:33Shot by Harpur, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 10:51Shot by O'Connor, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 11:28Shot by Kane, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 11:45Goal by Kreider (Trocheck, Fox)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kane, Kreider, Trocheck, Mikkola, Fox · PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta

  62. P3 12:28Shot by Rust, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 12:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 14:41Shot by Harpur, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 15:07Shot by Motte, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 15:31Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 15:51Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 15:53Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 16:03Shot by Rutta, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 16:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 16:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 19:10Goal by Kreider (Trocheck, Zibanejad)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Mikkola, Fox · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel

  73. P3 19:24Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  74. P3 19:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final