Thu, Mar 16, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Calgary Flames 7, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 86% of the time.
9%
81%
VGK winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:52 | 0.03 | 71.9% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.04 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:52 | 0.02 | 83.1% | +30.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.10 | 64.3% | +43.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:12 | 0.51 | 42.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.18 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.65 | 96.3% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.10 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:31 | 0.46 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.91 | 50.7% | +26.2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0.60 | 97.8% | +48.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.23 | 95.9% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.25 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.06 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.05 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.82 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.04 | 38.6% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.06 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.31 | 63.4% | +25.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.22 | 52.3% | +40.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.05 | 21.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.29 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.31 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.11 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.09 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.08 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.10 | 39.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.14 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:14 | 0.05 | 24.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 2.93 | −3.1 | 59:11 |