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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Colorado Avalanche 5, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Raymond, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 0:37Shot by Seider, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 1:29Shot by Copp, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 2:57Shot by Newhook, saved by Husso
  6. P1 5:01Goal by Toews (Compher, Makar)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp, Oesterle · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Malgin, Makar

  7. P1 5:52Shot by Maatta, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 5:55Shot by Zadina, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 6:00Shot by Maatta, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 6:55Goal by Suter (Larkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  11. P1 7:42Shot by Erne, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 7:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Husso
  13. P1 8:56Eller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Hagg, Veleno, Zadina, Berggren, Edvinsson · COL Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor, Byram

  14. P1 9:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  15. P1 10:21Shot by Zadina, saved by Georgiev5v4
  16. P1 10:27Shot by Kubalik, saved by Georgiev5v4
  17. P1 11:07Shot by Eller, saved by Husso
  18. P1 12:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Husso
  19. P1 13:47Shot by Oesterle, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 14:58Rantanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Makar

  21. P1 15:00Shot by Seider, saved by Georgiev5v4
  22. P1 15:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  23. P1 17:00Shot by Kubalik, saved by Georgiev
  24. P1 17:21Shot by Toews, saved by Husso
  25. P1 19:18Shot by Copp, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:17Shot by Malgin, saved by Husso
  29. P2 2:51Shot by Veleno, saved by Georgiev
  30. P2 3:20Shot by Toews, saved by Husso
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Husso
  32. P2 4:45Shot by Copp, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 6:19Shot by Hunt, saved by Husso
  34. P2 6:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Husso
  35. P2 7:24Goal by MacKinnon (Malgin, Makar)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Erne, Oesterle, Seider · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin, Makar

  36. P2 8:25Shot by Veleno, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 9:36Shot by Oesterle, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 10:35Shot by Walman, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 12:00Edvinsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiasson, Erne, Hagg, Czarnik, Edvinsson · COL Johnson, Hunt, Compher, Nichushkin, Malgin

  40. P2 12:40Shot by Makar, saved by Husso4v5
  41. P2 13:11Shot by Copp, saved by Georgiev4v5
  42. P2 13:37Shot by Erne, saved by Georgiev4v5
  43. P2 14:04Shot by Girard, saved by Husso
  44. P2 15:00Shot by Raymond, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 15:24Shot by Toews, saved by Husso
  46. P2 15:49Walman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar, Byram

  47. P2 15:49Rantanen: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar, Byram

  48. P2 16:32Shot by Girard, saved by Husso4v4
  49. P2 16:46Hagg: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Kubalik, Copp, Hagg, Oesterle · COL Compher, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  50. P2 17:37Goal by Byram (Makar, MacKinnon)3v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Copp, Seider · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Makar, Byram

  51. P2 18:54Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Husso
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:14Shot by Kubalik, saved by Georgiev
  55. P3 1:45Shot by Perron, saved by Georgiev
  56. P3 1:50Shot by Hagg, saved by Georgiev
  57. P3 2:35Cogliano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Hagg, Larkin, Zadina, Berggren · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  58. P3 2:43Shot by Chiasson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  59. P3 3:35Shot by Chiasson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  60. P3 3:40Shot by Copp, saved by Georgiev5v4
  61. P3 3:43Shot by Walman, saved by Georgiev5v4
  62. P3 4:17Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Husso5v4
  63. P3 4:20Goal by Eller (Nichushkin, Johnson)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kubalik, Copp, Walman, Zadina, Berggren · COL Johnson, Eller, Nichushkin, Makar

  64. P3 5:16Goal by Rantanen (Rodrigues, MacKinnon)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Raymond, Edvinsson · COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Byram

  65. P3 7:05Erne: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Oesterle, Veleno, Zadina, Berggren · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin, Makar

  66. P3 8:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Georgiev4v5
  67. P3 10:11Shot by Kubalik, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 13:15Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Georgiev
  69. P3 16:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Hellberg
  70. P3 17:25Shot by Malgin, saved by Hellberg
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final