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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 60% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Skjei, saved by Sandstrom
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sandstrom
  4. P1 2:24Shot by Lemieux, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:30Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:19Shot by Martinook, saved by Sandstrom
  7. P1 3:34Shot by Aho, saved by Sandstrom
  8. P1 4:48Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 8:22Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 9:00Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 9:19Shot by Laughton, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:31Shot by Noesen, saved by Sandstrom
  13. P1 12:42Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sandstrom
  14. P1 14:37Shot by Martinook, saved by Sandstrom
  15. P1 14:52Goal by Aho (Necas, Skjei)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Provorov, Tippett, Cates, York · CAR Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, Necas

  16. P1 15:31Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 16:03Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sandstrom
  18. P1 16:51Goal by Skjei, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Provorov, Allison, Laczynski, York · CAR Stepan, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Drury

  19. P1 17:10Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 18:51Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sandstrom
  21. P1 19:08Shot by Teravainen, saved by Sandstrom
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:16Shot by Cates, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 0:18Shot by Cates, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 4:30Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 4:56Goal by Foerster (Frost, Lemieux)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Lemieux, Provorov, Frost, Foerster · CAR Fast, Skjei, Pesce, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis

  28. P2 5:15Shot by Laughton, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 5:33Shot by Teravainen, saved by Sandstrom
  30. P2 11:30Shot by Sanheim, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 11:48Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sandstrom
  32. P2 11:53Shot by Skjei, saved by Sandstrom
  33. P2 13:27Shot by Tippett, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 13:55Goal by Aho (Noesen, Gostisbehere)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Provorov, Allison, Laczynski, Farabee · CAR Burns, Noesen, Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas

  35. P2 16:37Kotkaniemi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · CAR Fast, Skjei, Slavin, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis

  36. P2 17:11Shot by Foerster, saved by Andersen5v4
  37. P2 17:17Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Andersen5v4
  38. P2 18:06Skjei: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Ristolainen, DeAngelo, Frost, Farabee · CAR Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  39. P2 18:16Shot by Foerster, saved by Andersen5v3
  40. P2 18:18Goal by Cates (Foerster, Tippett)5v3+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI DeAngelo, Tippett, Cates, York, Foerster · CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce

  41. P2 18:37Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 18:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:03Shot by Sanheim, saved by Andersen
  46. P3 1:46Shot by Lemieux, saved by Andersen
  47. P3 2:41Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  48. P3 2:50Shot by Stepan, saved by Sandstrom
  49. P3 3:01Shot by Necas, saved by Sandstrom
  50. P3 3:21Shot by Sanheim, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 3:33Goal by Farabee (Tippett, Cates)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, Farabee · CAR Burns, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Necas

  52. P3 4:06Shot by Frost, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 4:07Shot by Lemieux, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 5:50Goal by Lemieux (Frost)+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Frost, Foerster · CAR Burns, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Necas

  55. P3 7:39Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sandstrom
  56. P3 9:29Shot by Necas, saved by Sandstrom
  57. P3 9:38Shot by Pesce, saved by Sandstrom
  58. P3 10:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 10:32Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sandstrom
  60. P3 10:53Shot by Staal, saved by Sandstrom
  61. P3 11:06Shot by Noesen, saved by Sandstrom
  62. P3 12:36Shot by Skjei, saved by Sandstrom
  63. P3 12:38Kotkaniemi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Frost, Foerster · CAR Fast, Skjei, Teravainen, Pesce, Kotkaniemi

  64. P3 14:03Shot by Slavin, saved by Sandstrom5v4
  65. P3 14:18Shot by Laughton, saved by Andersen5v4
  66. P3 14:41Shot by Lemieux, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 14:54Aho: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Provorov, Tippett, Cates, Farabee, York · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Necas, Jarvis

  68. P3 15:58Shot by York, saved by Andersen5v4
  69. P3 16:34Shot by Burns, saved by Sandstrom5v4
  70. P3 17:43Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sandstrom
  71. P3 18:02Shot by Necas, saved by Sandstrom5v6
  72. P3 18:05Shot by Burns, saved by Sandstrom5v6
  73. P3 18:08Shot by Necas, saved by Sandstrom5v6
  74. P3 19:53Laughton: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Provorov, Cates, Farabee · CAR Noesen, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Kotkaniemi, Jarvis

  75. P3 19:56Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sandstrom4v6
  76. P3 19:59Goal by Necas, unassisted4v6+43 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Provorov, Tippett, Cates · CAR Burns, Staal, Teravainen, Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:28Goal by Aho (Slavin, Burns)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, DeAngelo · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho

  80. OT 0:28Period end4v4
  81. OT 0:28Final