Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 112 | 014 | 18 | 234 |
| ARI | 07 | 17 | 37 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:35CHIJujhar KhairaAssists: Jarred Tinordi, Boris Katchouk · Tip-in, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 17:48ARIBarrett HaytonAssists: Clayton Keller, Juuso Välimäki · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 4:14CHICaleb JonesPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 6:00ARIClayton KellerAssists: Juuso Välimäki, Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 16:48ARIJuuso VälimäkiGWGAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 19:21ARIMatias MaccelliENAssists: Jack McBain, J.J. Moser · Wrist, 0.68 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:40ARIJuuso Välimäki: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 9:32CHITyler Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:00ARIMichael Kesselring: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:08CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:29ARINick Schmaltz: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:11ARIBarrett Hayton: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:10CHIConnor Murphy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:54ARILaurent Dauphin: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McBain won the faceoff against Khaira
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestJohnson – Dickinson – Raddysh10:33
xG 0.53–0.12 (81%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Robinson – Entwistle – Hardman6:17
xG 0.26–0.16 (62%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Khaira – Anderson – Katchouk8:19
xG 0.20–0.34 (37%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Athanasiou – Kurashev – Reichel8:45
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTinordi – Murphy12:48
xG 0.38–0.24 (62%)attempts 20–6goals 1–0
- Zaitsev – Kaiser10:35
xG 0.22–0.16 (58%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Murphy – Kaiser2:11
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrouse – McBain – Maccelli9:17
xG 0.41–0.19 (68%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton12:25
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
- Kassian – O'Brien – Dauphin6:51
xG 0.28–0.22 (56%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Boyd – Ritchie – Fischer7:00
xG 0.16–0.45 (26%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestNemeth – Moser14:12
xG 0.50–0.37 (57%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
- Välimäki – Soderstrom7:33
xG 0.51–0.39 (57%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Välimäki – Kesselring8:31
xG 0.22–0.12 (65%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).