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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

New York Islanders 4, San Jose Sharks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.

SJS winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:29Shot by Benning, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Kahkonen
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Sturm, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 2:16Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:23Zetterlund: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Pouliot, Lindblom, Lorentz, Zetterlund · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Aho

  7. P1 5:17Romanov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Benning, Johnsson, Barabanov · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov, Holmstrom

  8. P1 5:17Johnsson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Benning, Johnsson, Barabanov · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov, Holmstrom

  9. P1 5:17Johnsson: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Benning, Johnsson, Barabanov · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov, Holmstrom

  10. P1 5:25Shot by Couture, saved by Sorokin4v5
  11. P1 6:29Shot by Pulock, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  12. P1 7:04Shot by Aho, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  13. P1 7:31Goal by Labanc (Couture, Sturm)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Couture, Karlsson, Pouliot, Labanc, Barabanov · NYI Parise, Pageau, Pulock, Engvall, Aho

  14. P1 8:43Shot by Knyzhov, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 9:01Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 9:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Kahkonen
  17. P1 11:02Shot by Lorentz, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:12Shot by Pageau, saved by Kahkonen
  19. P1 12:04Pouliot: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Couture, Karlsson, Pouliot, Labanc, Eklund · NYI Lee, Pelech, Horvat, Dobson, Holmstrom

  20. P1 12:34Shot by Dobson, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  21. P1 12:45Shot by Lee, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  22. P1 12:58Shot by Lee, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  23. P1 14:20Clutterbuck: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Benning, Johnsson, Barabanov · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  24. P1 15:31Shot by Hertl, saved by Sorokin5v4
  25. P1 16:08Goal by Pageau (Cizikas)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Johnsson, Labanc, Kaut · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Pulock, Romanov

  26. P1 18:22Shot by Fasching, saved by Kahkonen
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:08Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kahkonen
  30. P2 1:44Shot by Sturm, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 1:45Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 2:09Shot by Cizikas, saved by Kahkonen
  33. P2 2:18Goal by Palmieri (Mayfield, Dobson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Karlsson, Hertl, Pouliot, Johnsson, Barabanov · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Engvall, Dobson

  34. P2 3:55Labanc: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Couture, Benning, Labanc, Ferraro, Eklund · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Dobson, Holmstrom

  35. P2 4:42Shot by Lee, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  36. P2 5:24Goal by Pulock (Fasching, Engvall)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Couture, Sturm, Knyzhov · NYI Parise, Pageau, Fasching, Pulock, Engvall

  37. P2 8:16Engvall: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Couture, Benning, Gregor, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Sturm · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Engvall, Dobson

  38. P2 9:21Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin5v4
  39. P2 10:00Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  40. P2 10:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Kahkonen
  41. P2 10:47Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kahkonen
  42. P2 11:53Shot by Barabanov, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 13:00Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 13:53Shot by Horvat, saved by Kahkonen
  45. P2 14:57Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Couture, Karlsson, Pouliot, Labanc, Eklund · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Pulock

  46. P2 15:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  47. P2 17:31Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 18:02Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Kahkonen
  49. P2 18:14Shot by Horvat, saved by Kahkonen
  50. P2 18:35Shot by Horvat, saved by Kahkonen
  51. P2 18:53Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kahkonen
  52. P2 19:51Shot by Hertl, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 19:59Shot by Hertl, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:23Shot by Pelech, saved by Kahkonen
  57. P3 1:47Shot by Pelech, saved by Kahkonen
  58. P3 2:36Shot by Lorentz, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 4:53Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 5:19Goal by Parise (Romanov, Pageau)+5 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Gregor, Zetterlund, Sturm, Knyzhov · NYI Parise, Pageau, Fasching, Dobson, Romanov

  61. P3 5:53Shot by Kaut, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 6:46Shot by Benning, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 7:42Shot by Ferraro, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 8:27Shot by Pulock, saved by Kahkonen
  65. P3 8:29Shot by Fasching, saved by Kahkonen
  66. P3 11:30Shot by Sturm, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 11:32Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 11:37Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 12:42Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Kahkonen
  70. P3 15:05Shot by Pageau, saved by Kahkonen
  71. P3 15:44Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 15:49Shot by Couture, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 15:50Shot by Couture, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 17:33Shot by Fasching, saved by Kahkonen
  75. P3 17:49Shot by Gregor, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 17:53Shot by Sturm, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 18:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Kahkonen
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final