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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 23, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Rangers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.

CAR winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Shot by Noesen, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Chatfield, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:00Shot by Burns, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 4:06Shot by Slavin, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 5:28Shot by Drury, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 7:02Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 7:04Shot by Necas, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 10:05Drury: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Noesen, Slavin · NYR Kane, Kreider, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Schneider

  11. P1 10:16Staal: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, Martinook, Pesce · NYR Kane, Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  12. P1 10:43Shot by Panarin, saved by Andersen3v5
  13. P1 11:57Shot by Fox, saved by Andersen3v5
  14. P1 12:03Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen3v5
  15. P1 13:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 13:26Lafrenière: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Fast, Noesen, Gostisbehere, Chatfield, Kotkaniemi · NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Trouba, Miller, Lafrenière

  17. P1 15:47Shot by Pesce, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 16:47Goal by Aho (Necas)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Necas, Jarvis · NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Fox

  19. P1 18:15Shot by Burns, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 19:35Zibanejad: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Jarvis · NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  21. P1 19:47Shot by Teravainen, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:47Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 1:49Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 3:37Shot by Skjei, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 4:11Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 4:13Burns: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Noesen, Slavin · NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Harpur, Panarin, Schneider

  29. P2 5:56Shot by Trocheck, saved by Andersen4v5
  30. P2 6:51Shot by Drury, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 6:52Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 7:14Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 8:09Shot by Chytil, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 8:59Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 10:33Goal by Panarin (Zibanejad, Tarasenko)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Martinook, Pesce, Aho, Necas · NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Harpur, Panarin, Fox

  36. P2 11:00Shot by Drury, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 11:14Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 11:43Shot by Motte, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 12:16Miller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Jarvis · NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  40. P2 13:34Shot by Burns, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  41. P2 16:39Shot by Panarin, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 16:40Shot by Panarin, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 16:48Shot by Jarvis, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 17:46Shot by Fast, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 19:39Shot by Burns, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 2:13Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P3 2:38Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 4:01Goal by Fox (Panarin, Zibanejad)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Jarvis · NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Panarin, Mikkola, Fox

  51. P3 6:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 7:49Shot by Chatfield, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 8:11Shot by Kakko, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 11:07Shot by Slavin, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 11:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 14:25Shot by Fox, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 16:22Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  59. P3 0:00Final