Sat, Mar 25, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
44%
42%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 26:53 | 0.59 | 43.2% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:04 | 0.36 | 43.0% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.12 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.60 | 53.4% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.15 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.46 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.22 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 17:16 | 0.50 | 69.3% | +48.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.01 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:57 | 0.00 | 43.7% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.43 | 58.9% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.22 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:00 | 0.42 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.02 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.22 | 76.7% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 4:54 | 0.06 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.45 | +0.5 | 58:52 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 27:49 | 0.22 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.02 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:37 | 0.13 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:48 | 0.95 | 38.3% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.01 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.20 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.46 | 72.5% | +40.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.08 | 70.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.70 | 58.9% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 63.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:17 | 0.84 | 63.5% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.19 | 42.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.27 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.13 | 45.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.16 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:31 | 0.08 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 4.41 | +1.4 | 60:00 |