Sat, Apr 1, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Boston Bruins 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.
50%
8%
8%
33%
PIT winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 24:11 | 0.11 | 47.6% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:40 | 0.03 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.28 | 47.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.12 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.14 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 19:32 | 0.73 | 34.6% | +96.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.45 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.11 | 31.7% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.40 | 94.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.11 | 72.4% | +91.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.05 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.33 | 33.5% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.02 | 59.9% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.05 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:57 | 0.10 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 3.55 | +0.6 | 59:56 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:06 | 0.27 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:47 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:14 | 0.41 | 70.4% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.59 | 68.1% | +38.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 21:15 | 0.53 | 58.8% | +82.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:03 | 0.33 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.05 | 56.1% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.39 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.23 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.01 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.04 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.12 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.32 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.08 | 77.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.04 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.11 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:28 | 0.04 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.02 | −1.0 | 58:35 |