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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 1, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Batherson, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 2:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Sogaard
  4. P1 3:13Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Sogaard
  6. P1 3:57Shot by Batherson, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 5:30Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 5:53Shot by Zub, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 6:21Schenn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Joseph, Gambrell, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · TOR Schenn, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  10. P1 7:07Shot by Stützle, saved by Samsonov5v4
  11. P1 7:53Shot by Greig, saved by Samsonov5v4
  12. P1 8:16Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  13. P1 8:56Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Sogaard
  14. P1 9:15Shot by McCabe, saved by Sogaard
  15. P1 13:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 19:01Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Sogaard
  17. P1 19:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:23Goal by Bunting, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Joseph, Gambrell, Greig, Kleven · TOR Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Bunting, Kampf

  21. P2 2:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Sogaard
  22. P2 2:49Shot by Zohorna, saved by Sogaard
  23. P2 3:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Sogaard
  24. P2 4:14Zub: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  25. P2 5:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Sogaard4v5
  26. P2 6:02Shot by Joseph, saved by Samsonov4v5
  27. P2 7:52Shot by Stützle, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 8:00Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 10:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 11:46Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 11:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Sogaard
  32. P2 12:48Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sogaard
  33. P2 12:56Goal by Nylander (Kerfoot)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, Kleven · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren

  34. P2 14:34Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 15:34Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sogaard
  36. P2 18:09Goal by Zohorna (McCabe, Brodie)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Kampf, Zohorna

  37. P2 18:24Shot by Zohorna, saved by Sogaard
  38. P2 18:58Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 19:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Samsonov
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 3:00Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Samsonov
  43. P3 5:13Shot by Gambrell, saved by Samsonov
  44. P3 5:56Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Samsonov
  45. P3 6:08Shot by Watson, saved by Samsonov
  46. P3 6:13Shot by Stützle, saved by Samsonov
  47. P3 7:51Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 8:41Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov
  49. P3 9:52Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Talbot
  50. P3 10:18Shot by Zohorna, saved by Talbot
  51. P3 11:54Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 12:22Shot by Lafferty, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 12:33Nylander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Joseph, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · TOR Tavares, Holl, McCabe, Nylander, Marner

  54. P3 13:18Shot by Batherson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  55. P3 15:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov6v5
  56. P3 15:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov6v5
  57. P3 16:55Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov6v5
  58. P3 17:41Shot by Sanderson, saved by Samsonov6v5
  59. P3 17:43Shot by Batherson, saved by Samsonov6v5
  60. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  61. P3 0:00Final