Sat, Apr 1, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
10%
36%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:19 | 0.17 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.11 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:15 | 0.00 | 53.5% | +7.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.02 | 43.4% | +7.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.46 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.08 | 40.7% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.28 | 71.7% | +15.7 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.43 | 60.8% | +15.7 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.03 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.19 | 37.3% | +19.3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.02 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Radim ZohornaLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 6:15 | 0.32 | 93.6% | +7.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 31 | 31 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.38 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:48 | 0.37 | 71.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26:38 | 0.28 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22:52 | 0.36 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.35 | 78.5% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.04 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.39 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.15 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.01 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
 Shane PintoC · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.02 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick HoldenD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.16 | 13.4% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.15 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Patrick BrownC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 17.7% | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.03 | 23.7% | 0.0 |
 Mark KastelicC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 |
 Dylan GambrellC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:54 | 0.05 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Cam Talbot#33 | – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.48 | +0.5 | 15:02 |
 Mads Sogaard#40 | L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 1.29 | −1.7 | 40:00 |