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Ice Lab

Centre · #47

Mark Kastelic

Ottawa Senators Boston Bruins(traded during the season)
Age
27
Shoots
Right
Height
193 cm
Weight
105 kg
Born
Phoenix, USA
Draft
2019, round 5, #125 (OTT)

Career · 2021–22 to 2026–27

Games
291
Goals
32
Points
64
TOI per game
10:07
xGF% (5v5)
45.8%
Goals above expected
−1.3
ShowAll teamsOttawa SenatorsBoston Bruins

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2021–22OTT16224−19:111118.2%01.547.1%
2022–23OTT657411−68:54739.6%07.447.8%
2023–24OTT635510−57:43608.3%05.145.9%
2024–25BOS615914−310:44677.5%06.144.1%
2025–26BOS82121022+612:3710012.0%112.445.2%
2026–27BOS4123+110:56333.3%00.952.0%
Total2 teams291323264−810:0731410.2%133.345.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.850100150200250
6m8m10m12m14m16m50100150200250Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2021–22 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

15th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.6544th pct
  • Assists /600.6523rd pct
  • ixG /600.6837th pct
  • Goals above expected−1.351st pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)45.8%26th pct
  • CF% (5v5)46.7%28th pct
  • Relative xGF%−3.922nd pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.2614th pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game10:0712th pct
  • PP time share2.7%21st pct
  • Offensive zone starts25.1%4th pct
  • Quality of competition23.3%20th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Aatu RätyVAN0.92
  2. Austin WatsonOTT/TBL0.89
  3. Patrick BrownOTT/BOS0.89
  4. Curtis LazarBOS/NJD0.89
  5. Sam CarrickANA/EDM/NYR/BUF0.88
  6. Michael McCarronNSH/MIN0.88

Faceoffs

How often Kastelic wins the draw over 2021–22 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1032+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

57.1%

1143–860 · #11 of 181 regulars, 94th percentile

Against an average centre

57.3%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

+146

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

7.0

2,003 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

59%406 · +0.758%83 · +2.857%243 · +0.160%30 · +1.456%86 · +0.446%26 · +6.455%65 · +1.255%213 · +0.157%851 · +1.8Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone57.4% 187–139
  • Neutral zone57.4% 352–261
  • Defensive zone56.8% 604–460

By strength

  • Even strength57.2% 965–723
  • Power play80.8% 21–5
  • Shorthanded54.3% 157–132

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +7 after a win, −23 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2021–2212058.3%57.8%
2022–2359056.9%56.6%
2023–2434954.4%54.3%
2024–2536654.4%55.1%
2025–2656460.8%61.7%
2026–271435.7%35.8%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−1.3 goals above expected

01020304050100150200250Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60+80

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.3 km/h52nd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph447th pct
  • Hardest shot120.6 km/h43rd pct
  • Distance skated11 km47th pct
  • Offensive-zone time33.4%3rd pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.6 km/h68th pct

▼ −0.5 km/h since 2024–25

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 35.3 km/h, 25th percentile (16 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 36.8 km/h, 80th percentile (65 games)2023–24: 35.7 km/h, 42nd percentile (63 games)2024–25: 37.1 km/h, 81st percentile (61 games)2025–26: 36.6 km/h, 68th percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

9.987th pct

▼ −5.2 since 2024–25

0510152021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 13.5, 95th percentile (16 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 15.8, 98th percentile (65 games)2023–24: 12.3, 92nd percentile (63 games)2024–25: 15.1, 98th percentile (61 games)2025–26: 9.9, 87th percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.2 km28th pct

▼ −1.7 km since 2024–25

141516171821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.2 km, 84th percentile (16 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 16.6 km, 97th percentile (65 games)2023–24: 16.7 km, 95th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 16.9 km, 97th percentile (61 games)2025–26: 15.2 km, 28th percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

148.6 km/h89th pct

▲ +9.7 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 133.7 km/h, 14th percentile (16 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 143.5 km/h, 54th percentile (65 games)2023–24: 139.9 km/h, 40th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 138.9 km/h, 42nd percentile (61 games)2025–26: 148.6 km/h, 89th percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

37.6%6th pct

▼ −1.1 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.9%, 2nd percentile (16 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 39.1%, 16th percentile (65 games)2023–24: 41.3%, 44th percentile (63 games)2024–25: 38.7%, 11th percentile (61 games)2025–26: 37.6%, 6th percentile (82 games)