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Ice Lab

Centre · #47

Michael McCarron

Age
31
Shoots
Right
Height
198 cm
Weight
105 kg
Born
Grosse Pointe, USA
Draft
2013, round 1, #25 (MTL)

Career · 10 seasons

Games
385
Goals
36
Points
82
TOI per game
12:13
xGF% (5v5)
48.8%
Goals above expected
−14.1

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2015–16MTL20112−1011:41412.4%03.647.1%
2016–17MTL31145−49:53313.2%02.749.1%
2017–18MTL18011−18:46150.0%00.941.1%
After a break: 2020–21NSH6000+110:1830.0%00.648.7%
2021–22NSH517714+1010:235113.7%15.250.0%
2022–23NSH32224−310:33395.1%04.048.4%
2023–24NSH70121022+412:469412.8%011.051.8%
2024–25NSH745914−2113:45806.3%09.646.7%
2025–26NSH595712−1514:30865.8%09.046.5%
2025–26MIN20325−112:402313.0%03.156.3%
2025–26All teams798917−1614:021097.3%012.148.8%
2026–27MIN4033+214:0790.0%00.547.1%
Total3 teams385364682−3812:134727.6%150.148.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.850100150200250300350
8m10m12m14m16m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

How 10 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

17th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.4624th pct
  • Assists /600.5923rd pct
  • ixG /600.6437th pct
  • Goals above expected−14.18th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.8%50th pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.0%41st pct
  • Relative xGF%−2.434th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.418th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game12:1338th pct
  • PP time share3.4%24th pct
  • Offensive zone starts26.4%4th pct
  • Quality of competition23.6%35th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often McCarron wins the draw over 10 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1778+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

52.8%

1904–1703 · #59 of 214 regulars, 73rd percentile

Against an average centre

52.7%

Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.

Wins above average

+99

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

9.6

3,607 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

52%777 · +1.049%206 · +0.145%412 · +2.352%104 · +0.256%135 · −0.455%104 · +1.049%138 · +0.856%519 · +1.655%1212 · +1.9Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone46.4% 287–331
  • Neutral zone52.5% 661–597
  • Defensive zone55.2% 956–775

By strength

  • Even strength53.4% 1614–1408
  • Power play46.1% 41–48
  • Shorthanded50.2% 249–247

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +7 after a win, −20 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2015–1616950.3%50.0%
2016–1717543.4%42.6%
2017–1812348.8%49.1%
2020–214242.9%42.2%
2021–2235354.4%53.5%
2022–2310659.4%59.8%
2023–2467153.2%53.1%
2024–2592354.4%54.5%
2025–2699452.5%52.8%
2026–275156.9%57.1%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−14.1 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.9 km/h18th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph19th pct
  • Hardest shot120.4 km/h43rd pct
  • Distance skated12 km48th pct
  • Offensive-zone time40.4%41st pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.7 km/h38th pct

▲ +0.1 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 34.8 km/h, 14th percentile (51 games)2022–23: 33.6 km/h, 2nd percentile (32 games)2023–24: 35.0 km/h, 17th percentile (70 games)2024–25: 35.6 km/h, 31st percentile (74 games)2025–26: 35.7 km/h, 38th percentile (79 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

4.642nd pct

▲ +0.9 since 2024–25

24681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 6.0, 59th percentile (51 games)2022–23: 3.2, 28th percentile (32 games)2023–24: 3.4, 25th percentile (70 games)2024–25: 3.7, 28th percentile (74 games)2025–26: 4.6, 42nd percentile (79 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.8 km67th pct

▼ −0.0 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.4 km, 41st percentile (51 games)2022–23: 15.4 km, 49th percentile (32 games)2023–24: 16.1 km, 84th percentile (70 games)2024–25: 15.8 km, 63rd percentile (74 games)2025–26: 15.8 km, 67th percentile (79 games)

Hardest shot

143.7 km/h75th pct

▼ −3.2 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 151.1 km/h, 81st percentile (51 games)2022–23: 149.2 km/h, 78th percentile (32 games)2023–24: 133.5 km/h, 14th percentile (70 games)2024–25: 146.9 km/h, 80th percentile (74 games)2025–26: 143.7 km/h, 75th percentile (79 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.7%34th pct

▼ −0.2 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 39.6%, 24th percentile (51 games)2022–23: 38.6%, 13th percentile (32 games)2023–24: 41.9%, 50th percentile (70 games)2024–25: 40.9%, 34th percentile (74 games)2025–26: 40.7%, 34th percentile (79 games)