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Ice Lab

Centre · #71

Macklin Celebrini

Age
20
Shoots
Left
Height
183 cm
Weight
86 kg
Born
North Vancouver, CAN
Draft
2024, round 1, #1 (SJS)

Career · 2024–25 to 2026–27

Games
154
Goals
70
Points
183
TOI per game
20:38
xGF% (5v5)
49.8%
Goals above expected
+9.2

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2024–25SJS70253863−3119:4723610.6%2225.247.4%
2025–26SJS824570115+821:1928715.7%3335.151.6%
2026–27SJS2055+222:2090.0%20.447.9%
Total1 team15470113183−2120:3853213.2%5760.849.8%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.5220406080100120140
18m19m20m21m22m23m24m20406080100120140Game

Player card

How 2024–25 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

95th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.3293rd pct
  • Assists /602.1397th pct
  • ixG /601.1592nd pct
  • Goals above expected+9.292nd pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)49.8%55th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.0%49th pct
  • Relative xGF%+6.697th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.3681st pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game20:3898th pct
  • PP time share70.4%94th pct
  • Offensive zone starts67.8%81st pct
  • Quality of competition25.5%87th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Celebrini wins the draw over 2024–25 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 422+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.5%

1147–1219 · #110 of 184 regulars, 40th percentile

Against an average centre

49.1%

Opponents won 50.6% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.4% against them.

Wins above average

−21

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

15.4

2,366 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

48%480 · +0.951%746 · +1.342%228 · +1.650%72 · +2.036%56 · +0.246%63 · −3.145%49 · +1.155%284 · +2.246%388 · +1.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone48.7% 474–500
  • Neutral zone47.1% 339–381
  • Defensive zone49.7% 334–338

By strength

  • Even strength47.5% 981–1086
  • Power play55.2% 143–116
  • Shorthanded57.5% 23–17

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +15 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2024–25105148.2%49.1%
2025–26128548.6%49.1%
2026–273050.0%51.3%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+9.2 goals above expected

02040608020406080100120140Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−20−100+10+20+30

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed35.3 km/h80th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph669th pct
  • Hardest shot138.1 km/h89th pct
  • Distance skated13 km59th pct
  • Offensive-zone time40.2%38th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

35.9 km/h44th pct

▼ −1.3 km/h since 2024–25

3535.53636.53737.524–2525–262024–25: 37.2 km/h, 85th percentile (70 games)2025–26: 35.9 km/h, 44th percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

6.460th pct

▼ −0.9 since 2024–25

24681024–2525–262024–25: 7.3, 68th percentile (70 games)2025–26: 6.4, 60th percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.2 km88th pct

▲ +0.1 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.524–2525–262024–25: 16.2 km, 84th percentile (70 games)2025–26: 16.2 km, 88th percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

157.5 km/h99th pct

▲ +13.3 km/h since 2024–25

13014015016017024–2525–262024–25: 144.3 km/h, 71st percentile (70 games)2025–26: 157.5 km/h, 99th percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

44.5%82nd pct

▲ +0.3 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%24–2525–262024–25: 44.2%, 79th percentile (70 games)2025–26: 44.5%, 82nd percentile (82 games)