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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Rangers 5, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.

WSH winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:39Shot by Protas, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 2:52Shot by Motte, saved by Kuemper
  4. P1 3:10Shot by Smith, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 6:04Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 7:10Shot by Smith, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 9:18Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 9:51Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 11:04Shot by Chytil, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 13:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kuemper
  11. P1 13:17Goal by Miller (Trocheck, Panarin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Irwin, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Alexeyev · NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller

  12. P1 15:19Goal by Lafrenière (Chytil)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Jensen, Wilson, Milano, Sandin · NYR Kane, Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière

  13. P1 16:27Aube-Kubel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Mantha, Aube-Kubel, Fehérváry · NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Mikkola, Fox

  14. P1 16:34Shot by Wilson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  15. P1 17:53Shot by Panarin, saved by Kuemper4v5
  16. P1 17:56Shot by Panarin, saved by Kuemper4v5
  17. P1 18:23Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Kuemper4v5
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:53Shot by Trouba, saved by Kuemper
  21. P2 1:00Goal by Kakko (Miller, Trouba)+9 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Smith, Sheary, Strome, Fehérváry · NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière

  22. P2 2:02Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Kuemper
  23. P2 5:26Shot by Sheary, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 5:58Kuznetsov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Smith, Kuznetsov, Sheary, Fehérváry · NYR Kane, Kreider, Zibanejad, Harpur, Schneider

  25. P2 6:51Fox: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Wilson, Alexeyev, Protas · NYR Kane, Kreider, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox

  26. P2 7:11Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  27. P2 8:04Vesey: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Strome · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Mikkola, Schneider

  28. P2 8:53Shot by Carlson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  29. P2 8:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  30. P2 11:18Shot by Chytil, saved by Kuemper
  31. P2 11:30Shot by Miller, saved by Kuemper
  32. P2 12:42Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Kuemper
  33. P2 13:23Goal by Strome (Ovechkin, Carlson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Jensen, Wilson, Strome, Sandin · NYR Kane, Kreider, Zibanejad, Mikkola, Fox

  34. P2 14:37Shot by Harpur, saved by Kuemper
  35. P2 15:32Shot by Chytil, saved by Kuemper
  36. P2 16:22Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 16:44Shot by Sandin, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 17:45Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 19:32Irwin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Irwin, Wilson, Mantha, Strome · NYR Vesey, Mikkola, Fox, Chytil, Kakko

  40. P2 19:32Vesey: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Irwin, Wilson, Mantha, Strome · NYR Vesey, Mikkola, Fox, Chytil, Kakko

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:22Shot by Sheary, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P3 2:15Shot by Schneider, saved by Kuemper
  45. P3 3:21Shot by Goodrow, saved by Kuemper
  46. P3 4:14Shot by Wilson, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 4:15Shot by Wilson, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P3 4:16Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P3 4:36Shot by Miller, saved by Kuemper
  50. P3 4:40Shot by Schneider, saved by Kuemper
  51. P3 4:47Shot by Chytil, saved by Kuemper
  52. P3 5:53Goal by Tarasenko (Trocheck, Panarin)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Jensen, Milano, Sandin, Protas · NYR Kreider, Tarasenko, Trocheck, Trouba, Harpur

  53. P3 6:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Kuemper
  54. P3 7:45Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 7:58Shot by Smith, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 8:33Shot by Kakko, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 8:41Shot by Kakko, saved by Kuemper
  58. P3 9:19Shot by Trouba, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 10:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Kuemper
  60. P3 11:35Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 11:36Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 11:37Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 11:38Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 11:39Shot by Backstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 11:44Goal by Protas (Carlson, Backstrom)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Milano, Sandin, Protas · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Harpur, Schneider

  66. P3 12:15Sheary: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Smith, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Sheary, Fehérváry · NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière

  67. P3 14:11Shot by Kane, saved by Kuemper4v5
  68. P3 14:14Goal by Zibanejad (Kane, Panarin)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Dowd, Wilson, Fehérváry · NYR Kane, Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  69. P3 14:17Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kuemper
  70. P3 16:29Wilson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  71. P3 16:29Fehérváry: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  72. P3 16:29Ovechkin: Misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  73. P3 16:29Ovechkin: Cross checking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  74. P3 16:29Mikkola: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  75. P3 16:29Goodrow: Fighting (5 min)3v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Wilson, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Mikkola, Fox

  76. P3 16:56Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Kuemper4v5
  77. P3 17:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Kuemper4v5
  78. P3 18:32Shot by Panarin, saved by Kuemper
  79. P3 18:42Shot by Milano, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 18:55Shot by Carlson, saved by Shesterkin
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final