Tue, Apr 4, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 5, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 18 | 318 | 12 | 528 |
| VAN | 27 | 05 | 06 | 218 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:31VANElias PetterssonAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, Dakota Joshua · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 13:09VANAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Conor Garland, Nils Aman · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 16:58SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Jesper Froden · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 5:07SEABrandon TanevSHAssists: Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 10:40SEAJordan EberleGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
- P2 16:14SEAJaden SchwartzPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Daniel Sprong · Tip-in, 0.14 xG4–2
- P3 19:00SEAMatty BeniersENAssists: Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.38 xG5–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:04VANConor Garland: Holding2 min
- P1 18:19SEAAdam Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:17SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:23SEAAlexander Wennberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:11VANEthan Bear: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 15:11SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:33VANElias Pettersson: Interference2 min
- P2 18:08VANPhillip Di Giuseppe: Elbowing2 min
- P3 7:51SEAAlexander Wennberg: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 12:32VANDakota Joshua: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – McCann – Beniers9:52
xG 0.76–0.38 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 1–1
- Gourde – Tolvanen – Froden4:05
xG 0.22–0.00 (98%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Donato – Sprong – Tanev3:45
xG 0.22–0.10 (68%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Gourde – Donato – Tolvanen2:03
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn15:26
xG 0.71–0.06 (93%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Borgen10:07
xG 0.20–0.25 (45%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Schultz – Soucy10:41
xG 0.27–0.35 (43%)attempts 11–6goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser8:00
xG 0.37–0.18 (68%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Studnicka – Dries – McDonough4:26
xG 0.04–0.09 (33%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Joshua – Pettersson – Kuzmenko8:59
xG 0.19–0.31 (38%)attempts 4–6goals 1–1
- Beauvillier – Garland – Aman6:46
xG 0.10–0.30 (26%)attempts 2–6goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBear – Rathbone9:27
xG 0.44–0.16 (73%)attempts 8–6goals 1–1
- Myers – Rathbone2:15
xG 0.04–0.20 (15%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Myers – Hirose10:43
xG 0.10–0.28 (27%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).