Sat, Apr 8, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Florida Panthers 4, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.
10%
81%
WSH winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Reinhart–Lomberg | Verhaeghe–Barkov–Tkachuk | Tkachuk–Luostarinen–Lundell | Duclair–Verhaeghe–Barkov | Duclair–Luostarinen–Lundell | Cousins–White–Smith | Staal–Cousins–Lomberg | Duclair–Verhaeghe–Lundell | Staal–Montour | Ekblad–Forsling | Gudas–Mahura | Gudas–Forsling | Ekblad–Mahura | Montour–Forsling | Montour–Mahura | Ekblad–Montour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Sheary–Strome | 1:060.03–0.00 | 1:500.01–0.27 | 2:290.00–0.21 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 3:390.00–0.06 | 3:230.04–0.38 | ||||||||||
| Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | 1:510.00–0.14 | 2:470.19–0.03 | 2:180.10–0.25 | 3:270.08–0.15 | ||||||||||||
| Kuznetsov–Milano–Protas | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.06 | 0:440.29–0.01 | 2:570.29–0.06 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Backstrom–Smith–Sheary | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.19 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.19 | 0:360.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Kuznetsov–Sheary–Milano | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:350.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Backstrom–Smith–Protas | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Aube-Kubel–Strome–Malenstyn | 0:590.00–0.10 | 0:590.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||||
| Backstrom–Smith–Malenstyn | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Milano–Aube-Kubel–Strome | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Backstrom–Milano–Aube-Kubel | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Protas | 0:540.02–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kuznetsov–Milano–Aube-Kubel | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Fehérváry | 1:150.00–0.10 | 4:120.01–0.41 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.02 | 3:420.01–0.39 | 1:040.00–0.10 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.08 | |||||
| Irwin–Alexeyev | 2:220.04–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 1:070.08–0.19 | 1:240.08–0.06 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 3:200.06–0.19 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 1:130.03–0.00 | 2:440.41–0.10 | 1:550.41–0.00 | 3:050.03–0.11 | ||||||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.08 | 1:590.09–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:550.01–0.07 | 3:550.08–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Jensen–Sandin | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:470.13–0.00 | 0:390.21–0.01 | 0:500.01–0.10 | 2:220.31–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.12 | ||||||||
| Carlson–Alexeyev | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Fehérváry–Sandin | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 1:350.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Carlson–Irwin | 0:450.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 30 | 28:33 | 0:57 | 2:23 | 7 | 8 |
 Brandon MontourFLA | 26 | 26:48 | 1:02 | 3:48 | 7 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 30 | 26:19 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 4 | 8 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 25 | 24:47 | 0:59 | 2:10 | 9 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 24:15 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 6 | 7 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 31 | 23:45 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 4 | 7 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 20 | 22:35 | 1:08 | 2:51 | 8 | 0 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 21:57 | 1:03 | 3:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 27 | 21:43 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 0 | 8 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 27 | 20:41 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 22 | 20:05 | 0:55 | 2:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 25 | 19:28 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 7 | 4 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 5 | 4 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 24 | 18:48 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 6 | 3 |
 Eric StaalFLA | 20 | 17:34 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 0 | 3 |
 Marc StaalFLA | 28 | 17:33 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 5 | 3 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 20 | 16:52 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 6 | 0 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 20 | 16:32 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 18 | 15:31 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 19 | 13:38 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 18 | 13:37 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 0 | 5 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 17 | 13:24 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Anthony DuclairFLA | 18 | 13:07 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Radko GudasFLA | 21 | 12:57 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 20 | 12:53 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 0 | 10 |
 Ryan LombergFLA | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 19 | 12:40 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Craig SmithWSH | 18 | 11:42 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 5 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 19 | 11:37 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 0 | 4 |
 Matt IrwinWSH | 16 | 10:51 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Josh MahuraFLA | 17 | 10:19 | 0:36 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsFLA | 12 | 6:44 | 0:34 | 1:26 | 0 | 4 |
 Givani SmithFLA | 10 | 4:48 | 0:29 | 0:58 | 0 | 3 |
 Colin WhiteFLA | 8 | 4:12 | 0:32 | 0:50 | 0 | 4 |