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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 10, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Islanders 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 52% of the time.

WSH winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Wilson, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:36Goal by Strome (Carlson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sheary, Strome, Fehérváry · NYI Parise, Pageau, Pelech, Fasching, Pulock

  4. P1 0:58Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:03Goal by Sandin (Smith, Backstrom)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Smith, Jensen, Sandin, Snively · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Holmstrom

  6. P1 4:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 4:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 4:51Shot by Lee, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 5:01Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 6:11Shot by Jensen, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:19Shot by Irwin, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 6:48Shot by Irwin, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 8:58Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  14. P1 9:25Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kuemper
  15. P1 9:37Shot by Backstrom, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 12:23Shot by Aho, saved by Kuemper
  17. P1 13:04Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper
  18. P1 13:13Goal by Smith (Fehérváry)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Smith, Fehérváry, Snively · NYI Cizikas, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom

  19. P1 13:19Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper
  20. P1 13:43Smith: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Aube-Kubel, Strome, Malenstyn, Fehérváry, Alexeyev · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Fasching, Dobson, Bolduc

  21. P1 15:50Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper
  22. P1 16:09Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kuemper
  23. P1 16:26Shot by Lee, saved by Kuemper
  24. P1 17:35Shot by Engvall, saved by Kuemper
  25. P1 17:36Wilson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sheary, Strome, Sandin · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall

  26. P1 17:36Engvall: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sheary, Strome, Sandin · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall

  27. P1 17:50Shot by Horvat, saved by Kuemper4v4
  28. P1 19:00Shot by Backstrom, saved by Sorokin4v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:23Shot by Jensen, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 2:47Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper
  33. P2 3:46Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper
  34. P2 3:49Shot by Sheary, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 4:45Shot by Backstrom, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 6:15Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 6:37Shot by Jensen, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 7:08Shot by Aho, saved by Kuemper
  39. P2 7:20Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  40. P2 7:37Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  41. P2 9:16Shot by Cizikas, saved by Kuemper
  42. P2 9:33Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 9:59Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 10:29Shot by Sheary, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 10:36Shot by Wilson, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 11:21Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 12:16Shot by Pageau, saved by Kuemper
  48. P2 12:32Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  49. P2 18:15Shot by Irwin, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:56Shot by Dobson, saved by Kuemper
  53. P3 2:07Shot by Protas, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 3:32Shot by Strome, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 3:44Wilson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Wilson, Strome, Alexeyev, Snively · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall

  56. P3 4:14Shot by Sheary, saved by Sorokin4v5
  57. P3 4:56Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kuemper4v5
  58. P3 6:32Shot by Pageau, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 6:39Carlson: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Carlson, Smith, Fehérváry, Snively · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Dobson, Bolduc

  60. P3 8:48Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 11:19Shot by Pulock, saved by Kuemper
  62. P3 11:36Shot by Mayfield, saved by Kuemper
  63. P3 12:01Shot by Lee, saved by Kuemper
  64. P3 13:12Shot by Pulock, saved by Kuemper
  65. P3 14:35Shot by Fasching, saved by Kuemper
  66. P3 14:51Shot by Fasching, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 14:52Goal by Fasching (Clutterbuck, Dobson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Milano, Alexeyev, Sandin, Protas · NYI Clutterbuck, Nelson, Fasching, Aho, Dobson

  68. P3 14:57Shot by Pelech, saved by Kuemper
  69. P3 15:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Kuemper5v6
  70. P3 15:44Goal by Wilson, unassisted5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Wilson, Sheary, Strome, Sandin · NYI Parise, Nelson, Pageau, Pulock, Engvall, Dobson

  71. P3 15:52Shot by Lee, saved by Kuemper
  72. P3 16:43Goal by Cizikas (Horvat, Aho)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Smith, Kuznetsov, Fehérváry, Protas · NYI Cizikas, Lee, Pageau, Horvat, Aho, Dobson

  73. P3 18:41Shot by Parise, saved by Kuemper5v6
  74. P3 18:50Goal by Strome (Sheary, Wilson)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Sheary, Strome, Fehérváry · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Nelson, Engvall, Dobson, Bolduc

  75. P3 19:55Shot by Cizikas, saved by Kuemper
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final