Mon, Apr 10, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.
62%
23%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.21 | 59.1% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.02 | 75.8% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:01 | 0.57 | 61.0% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.09 | 38.4% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.26 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.42 | 37.8% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.17 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:53 | 0.42 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.01 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.02 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.05 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.35 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 46 | 45 | 1 | .978 | 3.94 | +2.9 | 64:38 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 27:51 | 0.21 | 69.1% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:13 | 0.26 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:29 | 0.45 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 22:34 | 1.08 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.19 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.10 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.03 | 75.7% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:05 | 0.51 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.07 | 32.5% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.15 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.30 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:26 | 0.37 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:40 | 0.09 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:46 | 0.10 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:40 | 0.04 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:01 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 64:38 |