Sat, Oct 14, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont
Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.
43%
12%
10%
35%
NYI winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:24 | 0.01 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.18 | 48.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.01 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.24 | 57.7% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.02 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.04 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.03 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:00 | 0.28 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.10 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:53 | 0.28 | 68.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.22 | 67.6% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.12 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.05 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 59:32 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.02 | 44.8% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.03 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:58 | 0.49 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:07 | 0.27 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.02 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.01 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:37 | 0.35 | 49.2% | +29.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.51 | 45.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.05 | 49.2% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.14 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.02 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.01 | 27.9% | +38.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.09 | 36.1% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.80 | −0.2 | 59:51 |