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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 21, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 1, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

New York Islanders

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Pulock: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Jost · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Gauthier, Romanov

  3. P1 0:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov5v4
  4. P1 0:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  6. P1 3:55Shot by Martin, saved by Comrie
  7. P1 4:00Shot by Bolduc, saved by Comrie
  8. P1 5:19Shot by Pelech, saved by Comrie
  9. P1 5:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 5:51Shot by Martin, saved by Comrie
  11. P1 6:43Jokiharju: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · NYI Horvat, Barzal, Gauthier, Romanov, Bolduc

  12. P1 7:43Shot by Nelson, saved by Comrie4v5
  13. P1 8:07Engvall: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Samuelsson, Power · NYI Lee, Pageau, Engvall, Aho, Wahlstrom

  14. P1 9:01Shot by Tuch, saved by Varlamov5v4
  15. P1 9:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  16. P1 11:16Samuelsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Peterka · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Dobson, Romanov

  17. P1 11:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Comrie4v5
  18. P1 11:57Shot by Johnson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  19. P1 12:47Shot by Lee, saved by Comrie4v5
  20. P1 14:21Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 16:27Shot by Cozens, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 16:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 16:42Shot by Cozens, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 17:52Shot by Krebs, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 18:42Shot by Lee, saved by Comrie
  26. P1 19:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:14Shot by Jost, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 0:37Shot by Okposo, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 0:38Shot by Clifton, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 3:12Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 6:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 6:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 6:20Shot by Pageau, saved by Comrie
  36. P2 8:08Shot by Okposo, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 9:03Shot by Cozens, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 9:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 9:40Shot by Dobson, saved by Comrie
  40. P2 9:59Shot by Clifton, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 10:16Tuch: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Mittelstadt · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Gauthier, Dobson

  42. P2 10:16Pelech: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Mittelstadt · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Gauthier, Dobson

  43. P2 10:16Tuch: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Mittelstadt · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Gauthier, Dobson

  44. P2 10:21Shot by Palmieri, saved by Comrie4v5
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Horvat, saved by Comrie4v5
  46. P2 11:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 12:24Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 13:36Shot by Power, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 13:39Shot by Peterka, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 14:26Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Comrie
  51. P2 14:35Shot by Barzal, saved by Comrie
  52. P2 14:38Shot by Barzal, saved by Comrie
  53. P2 16:20Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov
  54. P2 16:37Goal by Skinner (Mittelstadt)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Dobson

  55. P2 17:49Shot by Pageau, saved by Comrie
  56. P2 19:23Goal by Samuelsson (Mittelstadt, Skinner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Engvall, Dobson

  57. P2 19:56Cizikas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Olofsson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Romanov

  58. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Varlamov5v4
  61. P3 1:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  62. P3 2:40Goal by Cozens (Dahlin, Greenway)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens · NYI Pageau, Engvall, Gauthier, Aho, Bolduc

  63. P3 6:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 7:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 7:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 7:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 7:39Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Comrie
  68. P3 7:49Shot by Martin, saved by Comrie
  69. P3 7:51Shot by Cizikas, saved by Comrie
  70. P3 8:45Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 9:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 9:44Shot by Cozens, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 11:16Shot by Cizikas, saved by Comrie
  74. P3 13:10Shot by Gauthier, saved by Comrie
  75. P3 13:30Shot by Pageau, saved by Comrie
  76. P3 15:32Shot by Olofsson, saved by Varlamov
  77. P3 16:15Shot by Jost, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 18:39Goal by Dobson (Barzal, Horvat)0 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Greenway, Thompson, Cozens · NYI Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  79. P3 18:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Comrie
  80. P3 19:16Shot by Horvat, saved by Comrie5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  82. P3 0:00Final5v6