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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 30, 2023·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Montréal Canadiens 2, Vegas Golden Knights 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 51% of the time.

VGK winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Montembeault
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Marchessault, saved by Montembeault
  4. P1 0:58Shot by McNabb, saved by Montembeault
  5. P1 0:59Shot by Marchessault, saved by Montembeault
  6. P1 1:32Shot by Suzuki, saved by Hill
  7. P1 1:55Shot by Marchessault, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 5:07Shot by Guhle, saved by Hill
  9. P1 5:16Shot by Suzuki, saved by Hill
  10. P1 6:15Shot by Karlsson, saved by Montembeault
  11. P1 7:26Shot by Harris, saved by Hill
  12. P1 8:24Shot by Gallagher, saved by Hill
  13. P1 8:24Shot by Gallagher, saved by Hill
  14. P1 8:51Shot by Kovacevic, saved by Hill
  15. P1 9:03Shot by Barbashev, saved by Montembeault
  16. P1 9:25Shot by McNabb, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 12:11Shot by Newhook, saved by Hill
  18. P1 12:25Shot by Marchessault, saved by Montembeault
  19. P1 12:34Shot by Barbashev, saved by Montembeault
  20. P1 13:42Harris: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Amadio, Howden, Dorofeyev · MTL Armia, Suzuki, Harris, Caufield, Xhekaj

  21. P1 15:06Goal by Cotter (Karlsson, Pietrangelo)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Karlsson, Barbashev, Cotter, Dorofeyev · MTL Matheson, Monahan, Evans, Barron

  22. P1 17:34Shot by Matheson, saved by Hill
  23. P1 19:15Shot by Theodore, saved by Montembeault
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:43Matheson: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Stone, Stephenson, Eichel, Cotter · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  27. P2 1:33Shot by Monahan, saved by Hill5v4
  28. P2 2:21Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Hill5v4
  29. P2 3:41Shot by Gallagher, saved by Hill
  30. P2 4:47Slafkovský: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Stone, Stephenson, Eichel, Hague, Cotter, Korczak · MTL Anderson, Harris, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský

  31. P2 5:38Goal by Monahan, unassisted5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore, Eichel, Dorofeyev · MTL Pearson, Monahan, Kovacevic, Guhle

  32. P2 8:03Howden: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Theodore, Amadio, Howden, Dorofeyev · MTL Pearson, Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harris, Caufield

  33. P2 8:19Shot by Caufield, saved by Hill4v5
  34. P2 8:40Shot by Suzuki, saved by Hill4v5
  35. P2 8:46Shot by Matheson, saved by Hill4v5
  36. P2 12:32Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Hill
  37. P2 12:53Hague: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Stephenson, Carrier, Hague, Korczak · MTL Matheson, Evans, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield, Guhle

  38. P2 15:09Shot by Kolesar, saved by Montembeault
  39. P2 16:03Shot by Evans, saved by Hill
  40. P2 17:30Shot by Harris, saved by Hill
  41. P2 18:10Goal by Carrier (Stephenson, Eichel)6v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stephenson, Carrier, Eichel, Kolesar, Hague, Korczak · MTL Anderson, Kovacevic, Harris, Newhook, Slafkovský

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:53Shot by Anderson, saved by Hill
  45. P3 1:54Shot by Anderson, saved by Hill
  46. P3 2:13Shot by Cotter, saved by Montembeault
  47. P3 2:32Shot by Stone, saved by Montembeault
  48. P3 3:18Shot by Amadio, saved by Montembeault
  49. P3 4:11Shot by Caufield, saved by Hill
  50. P3 4:39Shot by Caufield, saved by Hill
  51. P3 5:06Shot by Anderson, saved by Hill
  52. P3 5:09Korczak: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Marchessault, Barbashev, Eichel, Hague, Korczak · MTL Anderson, Kovacevic, Harris, Newhook, Slafkovský

  53. P3 5:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Montembeault4v5
  54. P3 7:13Shot by Pearson, saved by Hill
  55. P3 8:48Shot by Martinez, saved by Montembeault
  56. P3 9:40Shot by Pearson, saved by Hill
  57. P3 9:51Shot by Gallagher, saved by Hill
  58. P3 10:41Shot by Anderson, saved by Hill
  59. P3 11:57Shot by Caufield, saved by Hill
  60. P3 12:11Eichel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Marchessault, Barbashev, Eichel · MTL Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harris, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield

  61. P3 12:31Shot by Monahan, saved by Hill4v5
  62. P3 13:46Shot by Anderson, saved by Hill4v5
  63. P3 15:02Shot by Guhle, saved by Hill
  64. P3 15:42Goal by Suzuki (Harvey-Pinard, Caufield)+37 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Karlsson, Carrier, Kolesar · MTL Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard, Caufield, Guhle, Barron

  65. P3 16:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Hill
  66. P3 16:47Shot by Barron, saved by Hill
  67. P3 17:41Shot by Caufield, saved by Hill
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 2:07Shot by Eichel, saved by Montembeault3v3
  71. OT 2:08Suzuki: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)3v3

    On ice: VGK Marchessault, Theodore, Eichel · MTL Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle

  72. OT 2:08Shot by Eichel, saved by Montembeaultother
  73. OT 2:22Shot by Newhook, saved by Hill3v3
  74. OT 3:19Shot by Guhle, saved by Hill3v3
  75. OT 3:27Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Montembeault3v3
  76. OT 3:50Shot by Monahan, saved by Hill3v3
  77. OT 4:13Shot by Marchessault, saved by Montembeault3v3
  78. OT 4:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Montembeault3v3
  79. OT 4:53Shot by Stephenson, saved by Montembeault3v3
  80. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  81. SO Period start
  82. SO Goal by Suzuki, unassistedother
  83. SO Goal by Marchessault, unassistedother
  84. SO Shot by Caufield, saved by Hillother
  85. SO Shot by Eichel, saved by Montembeaultother
  86. SO Shot by Monahan, saved by Hillother
  87. SO Goal by Theodore, unassistedother
  88. SO Period endother
  89. SO Finalother