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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 1, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 68% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Goal by Farabee (Sanheim)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Walker, Farabee, Zamula, Brink · BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power

  3. P1 3:38Goal by Mittelstadt (Peterka, Skinner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Cates, Walker, Farabee, Zamula, Brink · BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power

  4. P1 4:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Hart
  5. P1 5:14Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Hart
  6. P1 5:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Hart
  7. P1 9:35Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 10:00Goal by Biro (Thompson, Greenway)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Seeler, Couturier, Tippett, Walker · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Biro, Power

  9. P1 11:12Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Ersson
  10. P1 11:46Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 12:13Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 14:12Shot by Foerster, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 15:24Shot by Belpedio, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 16:17Goal by Atkinson (Sanheim)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York · BUF Johnson, Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Bryson

  15. P1 17:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Ersson
  16. P1 18:24Shot by Belpedio, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 18:46Shot by Atkinson, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 19:59Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:15Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 1:19Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 3:59Krebs: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Cates, Farabee, York, Brink · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  24. P2 4:39Shot by Brink, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  25. P2 4:54Sanheim: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Sanheim, Konecny, Cates, Foerster · BUF Johnson, Okposo, Greenway, Power

  26. P2 4:55Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Ersson4v4
  27. P2 6:58Shot by Peterka, saved by Ersson
  28. P2 9:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Ersson
  29. P2 10:01Shot by Cates, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 10:06Shot by Zamula, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 11:43Shot by Hathaway, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 12:59Shot by Cates, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 15:41Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 17:18Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 17:43Shot by Atkinson, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 18:27Deslauriers: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Laughton, Hathaway, Belpedio, Zamula · BUF Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Biro

  37. P2 19:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Ersson4v5
  38. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 0:11Shot by Atkinson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  41. P3 3:03Goal by Power (Thompson, Tuch)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  42. P3 3:11Shot by Farabee, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P3 3:25Samuelsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Cates, Walker, Farabee, Brink · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens

  44. P3 3:36Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  45. P3 5:11Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  46. P3 6:23Shot by Hathaway, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 6:59Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 8:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Ersson
  49. P3 9:22Shot by Foerster, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 11:12Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 11:46Shot by Atkinson, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 12:46Shot by Walker, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 12:47Shot by Farabee, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 13:28Goal by Thompson (Tuch)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Samuelsson

  55. P3 14:45Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 14:47Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 15:42Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 16:34Shot by Brink, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  59. P3 16:44Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen6v5
  60. P3 16:52Goal by Biro (Mittelstadt, Krebs)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Atkinson, Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Brink · BUF Johnson, Mittelstadt, Krebs, Biro, Power

  61. P3 18:07Krebs: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Konecny, Frost, Walker, Farabee · BUF Jost, Jokiharju, Krebs, Biro, Power

  62. P3 18:29Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  63. P3 18:55Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  64. P3 19:14Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  65. P3 19:24Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  66. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  67. P3 0:00Final5v4