Wed, Nov 1, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Buffalo Sabres 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 68% of the time.
58%
10%
24%
PHI winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:07 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.04 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:45 | 0.07 | 42.9% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.04 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.15 | 55.3% | +56.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.13 | 43.7% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.02 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.11 | 31.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 67.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.11 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.12 | 26.7% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.15 | 26.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.06 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.09 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.02 | 54.4% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.99 | 63.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 3.02 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:04 | 0.11 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 24:35 | 0.35 | 67.1% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.21 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:13 | 0.40 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.34 | 60.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.13 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.24 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 15:31 | 0.45 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.11 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.11 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.01 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.14 | 75.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.12 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.12 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 0.16 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 0.82 | −1.2 | 49:16 | |
| – | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 0.54 | −1.5 | 10:00 |