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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 2, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.

CBJ winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Tomkins
  4. P1 1:31Shot by Paul, saved by Merzlikins
  5. P1 4:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  6. P1 4:27Shot by de Haan, saved by Merzlikins
  7. P1 5:16Shot by Sillinger, saved by Tomkins
  8. P1 6:06Shot by Bean, saved by Tomkins
  9. P1 6:12Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tomkins
  10. P1 6:16Shot by Voronkov, saved by Tomkins
  11. P1 6:29Goal by Marchenko (Voronkov, Sillinger)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Bean, Marchenko, Voronkov, Sillinger · TBL Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Jeannot

  12. P1 9:33Shot by Severson, saved by Tomkins
  13. P1 10:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins
  14. P1 12:51Shot by Cirelli, saved by Merzlikins
  15. P1 13:07Shot by Raddysh, saved by Merzlikins
  16. P1 13:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins
  17. P1 14:26Shot by Roslovic, saved by Tomkins
  18. P1 16:56Shot by Fantilli, saved by Tomkins
  19. P1 17:22Shot by Fantilli, saved by Tomkins
  20. P1 17:25Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Tomkins
  21. P1 18:02Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P1 18:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  23. P1 18:42Kuraly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Severson, Werenski, Danforth, Texier · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh

  24. P1 19:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:31Shot by Sillinger, saved by Tomkins4v5
  28. P2 1:06Shot by Hagel, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P2 2:53Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Bean, Bemstrom, Johnson, Fantilli · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Perbix

  30. P2 3:19Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tomkins
  31. P2 3:27Shot by Bean, saved by Tomkins
  32. P2 4:42Goal by Sheary (Stamkos, Cernak)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Bemstrom, Johnson, Jiricek, Fantilli · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Cernak

  33. P2 7:09Severson: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Roslovic, Werenski · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  34. P2 7:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  35. P2 10:18Jenner: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Werenski, Jiricek · TBL Glendening, Raddysh, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Merela

  36. P2 10:18Merela: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Werenski, Jiricek · TBL Glendening, Raddysh, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Merela

  37. P2 12:31Shot by Point, saved by Merzlikins
  38. P2 13:24Roslovic: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Roslovic · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Paul, Cernak, Hagel, Barré-Boulet

  39. P2 13:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  40. P2 14:07Shot by Jeannot, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  41. P2 14:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  42. P2 14:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  43. P2 15:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  44. P2 16:18Shot by Cernak, saved by Merzlikins
  45. P2 16:27Shot by Merela, saved by Merzlikins
  46. P2 18:10de Haan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Sillinger · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Kucherov, Paul, Raddysh

  47. P2 19:44Shot by Fantilli, saved by Tomkins5v4
  48. P2 19:50Shot by Roslovic, saved by Tomkins5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:08Shot by Danforth, saved by Tomkins
  52. P3 2:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  53. P3 3:46Jeannot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Provorov, Jiricek · TBL Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Jeannot

  54. P3 4:10Shot by Werenski, saved by Tomkins5v4
  55. P3 4:25Shot by Jenner, saved by Tomkins5v4
  56. P3 4:38Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tomkins5v4
  57. P3 5:35Shot by Paul, saved by Merzlikins5v4
  58. P3 6:10Shot by Paul, saved by Merzlikins
  59. P3 6:16Shot by Perbix, saved by Merzlikins
  60. P3 6:35Shot by Bean, saved by Tomkins
  61. P3 6:41Goal by Jenner (Werenski, Severson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Severson, Roslovic, Werenski · TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Point, Sergachev, Perbix

  62. P3 7:22Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Tomkins
  63. P3 9:19Shot by Fantilli, saved by Tomkins
  64. P3 9:24Goal by Gudbranson (Bemstrom, Fantilli)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Bean, Texier, Bemstrom, Fantilli · TBL Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  65. P3 11:16Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tomkins
  66. P3 12:52Hagel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Roslovic, Provorov, Bemstrom, Jiricek, Fantilli · TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix

  67. P3 13:44Shot by Marchenko, saved by Tomkins5v4
  68. P3 15:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  69. P3 17:49Goal by Gaudreau (Provorov, Jenner)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Provorov · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Hagel

  70. P3 18:20Shot by Kucherov, saved by Merzlikins
  71. P3 19:05Hedman: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Severson, Werenski, Danforth, Texier · TBL Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Raddysh, Jeannot, Barré-Boulet

  72. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  73. P3 0:00Final5v4