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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 2, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Dallas Stars 4, Edmonton Oilers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 84% of the time.

EDM winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Lindell, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Holloway, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 4:22Shot by Benn, saved by Skinner
  5. P1 7:48Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 8:08Goal by Duchene (Marchment, Lindell)+16 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Lindell, Marchment, Lundkvist

  7. P1 8:52Shot by Bouchard, saved by Wedgewood
  8. P1 8:55Shot by Brown, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 9:18Shot by Benn, saved by Skinner
  10. P1 10:36Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Skinner
  11. P1 12:43Shot by Ceci, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 13:23Shot by Hyman, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 13:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 13:58Shot by Kane, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 15:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 15:54Shot by Johnston, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 17:00Goal by Kane (Nugent-Hopkins)+17 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Bouchard · DAL Pavelski, Lindell, Steel, Dellandrea, Harley

  18. P1 17:43Shot by Brown, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 17:45Shot by Nurse, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 19:06Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 19:21Shot by Dadonov, saved by Skinner
  22. P1 19:23Shot by Johnston, saved by Skinner
  23. P1 19:45Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Skinner
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:56Shot by Harley, saved by Skinner
  27. P2 1:15Shot by Johnston, saved by Skinner
  28. P2 2:26Shot by Nurse, saved by Wedgewood
  29. P2 2:58Shot by Broberg, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 3:25Goal by Pavelski (Hintz, Heiskanen)+19 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Broberg · DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Hintz, Steel, Harley

  31. P2 5:15Shot by Seguin, saved by Skinner
  32. P2 6:17Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci · DAL Smith, Hakanpää, Lindell, Steel, Dellandrea

  33. P2 7:13Shot by McDavid, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  34. P2 10:11Shot by McDavid, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 12:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  36. P2 12:05Shot by Hintz, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 13:16Marchment: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kulak, McDavid, Ryan, Desharnais, McLeod · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Lindell, Marchment, Lundkvist

  38. P2 13:24Shot by Bouchard, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  39. P2 15:39Shot by Seguin, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 15:45Kane: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Kane, Ekholm, Nurse, Ryan · DAL Pavelski, Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Harley

  41. P2 16:04Shot by Pavelski, saved by Skinner4v5
  42. P2 16:06Goal by Hintz (Pavelski, Benn)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  43. P2 16:29Shot by Desharnais, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P2 17:02Shot by Ekholm, saved by Wedgewood
  45. P2 17:54Marchment: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, Bouchard, Holloway · DAL Suter, Dadonov, Steel, Heiskanen, Johnston

  46. P2 18:33Shot by McDavid, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  47. P2 19:32Shot by Gagner, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  48. P2 19:36Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  49. P2 19:36Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by Wedgewood
  53. P3 1:17Shot by Marchment, saved by Skinner
  54. P3 2:37Goal by Hintz (Pavelski, Robertson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, McDavid, Ryan, Bouchard · DAL Suter, Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  55. P3 3:10Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Wedgewood
  56. P3 3:13Shot by Kane, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P3 4:00Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Skinner
  58. P3 4:50Shot by Bouchard, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P3 5:18Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 6:29Shot by Benn, saved by Skinner
  61. P3 6:31Nugent-Hopkins: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Broberg · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Dadonov, Hakanpää, Harley

  62. P3 7:19Shot by Pavelski, saved by Skinner4v5
  63. P3 7:28Shot by Foegele, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  64. P3 7:33Shot by Holloway, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  65. P3 7:49Shot by Kulak, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  66. P3 8:05Marchment: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: EDM Kulak, Ryan, Desharnais, Holloway · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Johnston

  67. P3 9:39Shot by Bouchard, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  68. P3 10:08Shot by Gagner, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 10:32Shot by Ceci, saved by Wedgewood
  70. P3 10:35Goal by Gagner (Ceci, Kulak)+4 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Kane, Ceci, Kulak, Ryan · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Harley

  71. P3 10:54Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  72. P3 12:13Shot by Kane, saved by Wedgewood
  73. P3 12:27Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Skinner
  74. P3 12:42Shot by Kulak, saved by Wedgewood
  75. P3 13:36Goal by Gagner (Kane)+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Kane, Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Bouchard · DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Hintz, Robertson, Harley

  76. P3 14:21Shot by McLeod, saved by Wedgewood
  77. P3 14:45Shot by Nurse, saved by Wedgewood
  78. P3 15:57Shot by Suter, saved by Skinner
  79. P3 16:52Shot by Kane, saved by Wedgewood
  80. P3 17:13Shot by Foegele, saved by Wedgewood
  81. P3 17:30Shot by Duchene, saved by Skinner
  82. P3 17:43Shot by McDavid, saved by Wedgewood
  83. P3 17:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Wedgewood
  84. P3 17:59Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Wedgewood
  85. P3 19:11Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  86. P3 19:18Shot by McDavid, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  87. P3 19:59Shot by Kane, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  89. P3 0:00Final6v5