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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 6, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Boston Bruins 3, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 55% of the time.

DAL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchand–Coyle–DeBruskvan Riemsdyk–Pastrnak–ZachaFrederic–Geekie–PoitrasHeinen–Steen–Beechervan Riemsdyk–Pastrnak–PoitrasLindholm–CarloWotherspoon–MitchellMitchell–LohreiShattenkirk–LohreiShattenkirk–WotherspoonCarlo–LohreiLindholm–Mitchell
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson2:450.00–0.011:440.12–0.111:520.16–0.005:140.02–0.230:300.05–0.008:360.05–0.351:380.17–0.001:190.08–0.000:450.05–0.000:590.00–0.05
Benn–Dadonov–Johnston2:520.02–0.023:020.17–0.011:360.01–0.170:330.00–0.210:320.02–0.001:530.18–0.282:170.06–0.051:110.01–0.001:430.08–0.002:120.04–0.11
Seguin–Marchment–Steel1:030.05–0.001:160.02–0.081:220.10–0.001:100.00–0.000:560.04–0.000:550.10–0.001:240.00–0.050:350.05–0.001:090.02–0.081:020.00–0.00
Smith–Robertson–Dellandrea0:370.00–0.101:030.00–0.011:090.06–0.010:520.00–0.10
Smith–Seguin–Marchment0:360.00–0.120:340.04–0.000:400.00–0.001:370.04–0.12
Steel–Robertson–Dellandrea1:010.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Smith–Seguin–Dellandrea1:000.00–0.030:460.15–0.03
Smith–Steel–Dellandrea0:510.36–0.001:060.54–0.00
Suter–Heiskanen3:470.17–0.023:040.10–0.000:330.02–0.003:520.24–0.022:170.06–0.001:030.01–0.001:540.16–0.00
Lundkvist–Harley0:510.01–0.071:200.00–0.003:050.00–0.433:320.17–0.430:340.00–0.000:550.01–0.07
Hakanpää–Harley1:350.00–0.001:530.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:430.00–0.002:040.00–0.050:510.00–0.00
Hakanpää–Lindell0:550.00–0.131:340.00–0.000:320.02–0.001:020.00–0.110:380.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:020.02–0.01
Suter–Lindell1:250.00–0.030:310.00–0.070:370.00–0.070:390.05–0.000:580.00–0.00
Lindell–Lundkvist1:290.00–0.001:360.00–0.010:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.05
Hanley–Heiskanen0:380.00–0.000:470.00–0.110:470.03–0.001:280.03–0.000:520.00–0.11
Heiskanen–Harley1:100.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.05
Hanley–Lundkvist0:500.16–0.000:470.00–0.001:250.00–0.00
Hakanpää–Heiskanen0:370.00–0.100:520.00–0.10
Suter–Hakanpää0:340.00–0.000:380.00–0.060:570.00–0.06
Hanley–Harley0:460.03–0.120:430.03–0.12
Hakanpää–Hanley0:540.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Lindell–Harley0:350.05–0.000:350.05–0.00
Lindell–Hanley0:340.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FJohnston FDadonov FPavelski FRobertson FHintz FSeguin FSteel FMarchment FSmith FDellandrea FLundkvist DHarley DHeiskanen DSuter DLindell DHakanpää DHanley DOettinger GBeecher FHeinen FSteen FCoyle FMarchand FDeBrusk FZacha FPastrnak Fvan Riemsdyk FFrederic FGeekie FPoitras FLohrei DMitchell DCarlo DLindholm DShattenkirk DWotherspoon DSwayman G
DALBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jason RobertsonDAL2726:170:582:3863
Miro HeiskanenDAL2425:251:042:3455
Brandon CarloBOS3225:160:472:41010
Hampus LindholmBOS2924:250:512:3536
Roope HintzDAL2522:400:542:3075
Pavel ZachaBOS2320:110:531:5273
Joe PavelskiDAL2219:280:532:3873
Brad MarchandBOS2419:260:491:2844
David PastrnakBOS2218:530:521:2772
Ryan SuterDAL2217:560:491:2446
Ian MitchellBOS3117:470:341:2833
Charlie CoyleBOS2317:290:461:2145
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2217:280:481:3953
Thomas HarleyDAL2017:200:521:3243
James van RiemsdykBOS2216:560:461:1781
Jamie BennDAL2216:480:462:2854
Parker WotherspoonBOS2716:280:371:1304
Esa LindellDAL2116:200:471:2815
Tyler SeguinDAL2115:370:451:3931
Mason LohreiBOS1815:330:521:5833
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS1915:110:481:2471
Jani HakanpääDAL1815:040:502:4034
Evgenii DadonovDAL1914:510:471:2752
Jake DeBruskBOS2214:450:401:1541
Sam SteelDAL2014:190:431:2635
Nils LundkvistDAL1713:310:481:1733
Morgan GeekieBOS1813:130:441:1631
Matthew PoitrasBOS1913:110:421:1231
John BeecherBOS1813:050:440:5727
Danton HeinenBOS1812:520:430:5825
Craig SmithDAL1611:490:441:1323
Mason MarchmentDAL1711:400:411:2131
Ty DellandreaDAL1411:310:491:1515
Trent FredericBOS1511:230:461:1711
Oskar SteenBOS1410:190:441:0325
Joel HanleyDAL128:200:421:3012