Tue, Nov 7, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Seattle Kraken 3, Arizona Coyotes 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 112 | 110 | 114 | 02 | 0 | 338 |
| ARI | 18 | 110 | 16 | 03 | 1 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:40SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Yanni Gourde, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 6:07ARIMatias MaccelliAssists: Nick Bjugstad, Travis Dermott · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 3:59ARIBarrett HaytonPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 4:57SEAJustin SchultzAssists: Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 1:16SEAJaden SchwartzPPAssists: Matty Beniers, Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.35 xG3–2
- P3 1:58ARIClayton KellerPPAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Sean Durzi · Slap, 0.06 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 2. SEA Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 3. ARI Nick Bjugstad scored
- 4. SEA Matty Beniers stopped
- 5. ARI Clayton Keller stopped
- 6. SEA Jordan Eberle stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 16:37SEAYanni Gourde: Slashing2 min
- P1 0:00SEAYanni Gourde: Hooking2 min
- P1 0:00ARIClayton Keller: Embellishment2 min
- P2 2:50SEAKailer Yamamoto: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:46ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:55SEAYanni Gourde: Interference2 min
- P2 17:03ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:03SEAVince Dunn: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:44ARITroy Stecher: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 1:27SEAVince Dunn: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:21ARISean Durzi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – Wennberg9:54
xG 0.51–0.01 (97%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen10:13
xG 0.75–0.45 (63%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- McCann – Yamamoto – Beniers9:54
xG 0.45–0.37 (54%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Shore – Bellemare – Kartye2:58
xG 0.01–0.14 (6%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn14:27
xG 0.87–0.29 (75%)attempts 18–11goals 1–1
- Oleksiak – Borgen11:55
xG 0.65–0.34 (66%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Schultz – Dumoulin9:55
xG 0.30–0.25 (55%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Carcone – Cooley7:57
xG 0.40–0.34 (55%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Kerfoot – O'Brien – McBain7:19
xG 0.00–0.24 (0%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli9:02
xG 0.46–0.79 (37%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton11:42
xG 0.29–0.75 (28%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Durzi – Moser14:21
xG 0.41–0.65 (39%)attempts 12–16goals 1–1
- Stecher – Välimäki11:03
xG 0.25–0.78 (25%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
- Dumba – Dermott12:45
xG 0.30–0.90 (25%)attempts 8–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).