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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 9, 2023·TD Garden, Boston

New York Islanders 2, Boston Bruins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 71% of the time.

BOS winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Lindholm, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 3:42Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 5:32Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 6:31Shot by Heinen, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 6:59Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 7:07Shot by Frederic, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 8:05Shot by Bolduc, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 8:47Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 9:39Shot by Lohrei, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 10:29Shot by Lindholm, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 11:57Shot by Mitchell, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 12:38Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 12:50Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 13:12Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 13:19Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 13:44Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 14:05Goal by Frederic (van Riemsdyk, Coyle)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Shattenkirk, van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Forbort, Frederic · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Bolduc

  21. P1 15:14Shot by Bolduc, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 15:57Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 16:10Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 16:17Frederic: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Lindholm, Carlo, Frederic · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Aho, Dobson

  25. P1 16:56Shot by Palmieri, saved by Ullmark4v5
  26. P1 17:20Shot by Dobson, saved by Ullmark4v5
  27. P1 17:23Goal by Nelson (Dobson, Barzal)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Lindholm, Zacha, Carlo, DeBrusk · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  28. P1 18:33Shot by Carlo, saved by Sorokin
  29. P1 19:43Shot by Romanov, saved by Ullmark
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 2:47Shot by Cizikas, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 4:59Pageau: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Heinen, Carlo, DeBrusk, Lohrei, Poitras · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Fasching, Bolduc, Holmstrom

  34. P2 5:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Sorokin5v4
  35. P2 5:56Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Sorokin5v4
  36. P2 6:06Goal by Coyle (Zacha, Pastrnak)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, Coyle, Pastrnak, Zacha · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pulock, Dobson

  37. P2 7:04Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 12:08Shot by Steen, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 13:04Shot by Pulock, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 14:31Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 16:24Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 19:06Shot by Marchand, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 19:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:36Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 1:00Shot by Aho, saved by Ullmark
  48. P3 2:18Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Ullmark
  49. P3 2:40Wahlstrom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Heinen, Carlo, DeBrusk, Lohrei, Poitras · NYI Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Romanov

  50. P3 2:50Goal by Holmstrom (Pageau)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, van Riemsdyk, Pastrnak, Zacha · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov, Holmstrom

  51. P3 3:06Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin5v4
  52. P3 3:11Shot by Marchand, saved by Sorokin5v4
  53. P3 3:33Goal by Pastrnak (Shattenkirk, Marchand)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Marchand, Shattenkirk, van Riemsdyk, Pastrnak, Zacha · NYI Pageau, Pulock, Romanov, Holmstrom

  54. P3 4:08Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 4:56Shot by Mitchell, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 5:14Shot by Aho, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 5:48Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 6:54Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 9:26Goal by Coyle (van Riemsdyk, Frederic)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Lindholm, Frederic, Mitchell · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Bolduc

  60. P3 10:25Shot by Fasching, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 11:03Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 13:35Shot by Carlo, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 13:37Shot by Carlo, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 14:31Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 15:16Bolduc: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Brown, Carlo, Steen, Beecher, Lohrei · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Wahlstrom, Bolduc

  66. P3 15:32Shot by Zacha, saved by Sorokin5v4
  67. P3 16:22Shot by Coyle, saved by Sorokin5v4
  68. P3 16:24Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Ullmark5v4
  69. P3 17:10Shot by Lohrei, saved by Sorokin5v4
  70. P3 17:18Shot by Lohrei, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 18:04Shot by Barzal, saved by Ullmark5v6
  72. P3 18:39Goal by Coyle (Pastrnak, Marchand)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Marchand, Coyle, Forbort, Pastrnak, Carlo · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  73. P3 19:28Shot by Poitras, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final