Fri, Nov 10, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Calgary Flames 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.
77%
13%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:27 | 0.08 | 25.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:35 | 0.05 | 30.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.04 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22:01 | 0.86 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.07 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.10 | 30.0% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.09 | 19.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.08 | 35.3% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.20 | 24.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 34.6% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.04 | 33.2% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.03 | 58.4% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.29 | 34.8% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.04 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.10 | 37.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 4.69 | +0.7 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26:13 | 0.39 | 69.1% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:28 | 0.79 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.43 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 20:46 | 1.22 | 82.5% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.01 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.01 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:09 | 0.94 | 84.5% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.05 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.14 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.19 | 78.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.00 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.08 | 95.7% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.25 | 86.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.06 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 4:33 | 0.11 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.40 | −1.6 | 65:00 |