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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 11, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Fischer, saved by Martin
  3. P1 3:41Goal by Raymond (Compher)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Compher, Raymond · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Werenski, Danforth, Texier

  4. P1 3:47Shot by Veleno, saved by Martin
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Fabbri, saved by Martin
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Veleno, saved by Martin
  7. P1 4:21Shot by Petry, saved by Martin
  8. P1 4:26Goal by Fabbri (Fischer, Petry)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fabbri, Fischer, Veleno · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Laine, Peeke, Boqvist

  9. P1 5:33Goal by Texier (Severson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Sprong, DeBrincat · CBJ Gudbranson, Severson, Danforth, Texier, Fantilli

  10. P1 8:10Shot by Boqvist, saved by Husso
  11. P1 10:14Shot by Fischer, saved by Martin
  12. P1 13:22Fabbri: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Fabbri, Walman, Fischer, Veleno, Seider · CBJ Gaudreau, Severson, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli

  13. P1 14:00Shot by Fantilli, saved by Husso4v5
  14. P1 15:06Shot by Fantilli, saved by Husso4v5
  15. P1 15:12Shot by Laine, saved by Husso4v5
  16. P1 18:14Goal by Fantilli (Marchenko, Voronkov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Fabbri, Walman, Fischer, Veleno, Seider · CBJ Severson, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli

  17. P1 19:23Shot by Copp, saved by Martin
  18. P1 19:39Shot by Danforth, saved by Husso
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:27Shot by Petry, saved by Martin
  22. P2 1:54Shot by Fischer, saved by Martin
  23. P2 1:56Shot by Holl, saved by Martin
  24. P2 2:14Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Husso
  25. P2 2:55Chiarot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, Sprong, Kostin · CBJ Severson, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli

  26. P2 5:41Goal by Kuraly (Werenski, Gudbranson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · CBJ Gudbranson, Kuraly, Roslovic, Werenski, Danforth

  27. P2 6:05Shot by Voronkov, saved by Husso
  28. P2 8:33Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · CBJ Gaudreau, Severson, Provorov, Bemstrom, Sillinger

  29. P2 9:47Shot by Perron, saved by Martin5v4
  30. P2 9:57Shot by Severson, saved by Husso5v4
  31. P2 10:33Shot by Sprong, saved by Martin
  32. P2 10:59Shot by Seider, saved by Martin
  33. P2 12:22Bemstrom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Sprong, DeBrincat · CBJ Roslovic, Peeke, Bemstrom, Boqvist, Fantilli

  34. P2 13:26Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Martin5v4
  35. P2 14:27Shot by Copp, saved by Martin
  36. P2 14:36Shot by Chiarot, saved by Martin
  37. P2 16:01Goal by DeBrincat (Petry)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Roslovic, Provorov, Peeke

  38. P2 16:49Shot by Werenski, saved by Husso
  39. P2 18:19Goal by Sprong (Kostin)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Sprong, Rasmussen, Kostin · CBJ Kuraly, Severson, Provorov, Danforth, Texier

  40. P2 18:52Shot by Sillinger, saved by Husso
  41. P2 19:00Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Husso
  42. P2 19:01Shot by Roslovic, saved by Husso
  43. P2 0:00Gudbranson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Walman, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider · CBJ Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Laine

  44. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:58Shot by Copp, saved by Martin5v4
  47. P3 2:27Shot by Fischer, saved by Martin
  48. P3 2:33Goal by Walman (Fischer, Veleno)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Fabbri, Walman, Fischer, Veleno · CBJ Peeke, Boqvist, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli

  49. P3 3:03Shot by Veleno, saved by Martin
  50. P3 4:31Shot by Peeke, saved by Husso
  51. P3 5:51Shot by Walman, saved by Martin
  52. P3 6:06Shot by Fischer, saved by Martin
  53. P3 6:07Shot by Fabbri, saved by Martin
  54. P3 7:52Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Martin
  55. P3 9:21Fabbri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Fabbri, Walman, Fischer, Veleno, Seider · CBJ Severson, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli

  56. P3 11:30Goal by Laine, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fabbri, Veleno · CBJ Gaudreau, Jenner, Werenski, Laine, Fantilli

  57. P3 13:43Shot by Werenski, saved by Husso
  58. P3 14:40Shot by Laine, saved by Husso
  59. P3 15:48Shot by Kuraly, saved by Husso
  60. P3 16:29Shot by Severson, saved by Husso
  61. P3 18:26Shot by Laine, saved by Husso5v6
  62. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  63. P3 0:00Final5v6