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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 11, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver

St. Louis Blues 8, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

St. Louis Blues

8

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 66% of the time.

COL winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Thomas, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 0:11Shot by Leddy, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 1:08Goal by Schenn (Krug, Faulk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johansen, Rantanen, Tufte, Girard, Byram · STL Schenn, Faulk, Saad, Krug, Kyrou

  5. P1 1:43Shot by Colton, saved by Binnington
  6. P1 1:54Shot by Colton, saved by Binnington
  7. P1 1:55Shot by O'Connor, saved by Binnington
  8. P1 3:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Binnington
  9. P1 5:11Shot by Scandella, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 5:46Shot by Faulk, saved by Georgiev
  11. P1 5:54Shot by Wood, saved by Binnington
  12. P1 6:53Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Binnington
  13. P1 7:49Shot by Manson, saved by Binnington
  14. P1 7:53Shot by Rantanen, saved by Binnington
  15. P1 9:29Shot by Parayko, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 10:23Shot by Neighbours, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 11:13Shot by Leddy, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 11:40Tufte: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacDermid, Olofsson, Tufte, Girard, Byram · STL Schenn, Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Kyrou

  19. P1 12:00Shot by Thomas, saved by Georgiev4v5
  20. P1 12:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Georgiev4v5
  21. P1 12:53Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Binnington4v5
  22. P1 13:38Shot by Kapanen, saved by Georgiev4v5
  23. P1 14:44Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Georgiev
  24. P1 14:55Shot by Schenn, saved by Georgiev
  25. P1 15:55Shot by Byram, saved by Binnington
  26. P1 17:35Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Georgiev
  27. P1 18:41Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Binnington
  28. P1 18:53Goal by Schenn (Saad)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · STL Schenn, Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Kyrou

  29. P1 19:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington
  30. P1 19:28Shot by Makar, saved by Binnington
  31. P1 19:48Shot by Thomas, saved by Georgiev
  32. P1 19:58Goal by Krug (Thomas, Faulk)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Johansen, Olofsson, Girard, Byram · STL Faulk, Krug, Buchnevich, Kapanen, Thomas

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington
  36. P2 2:36Shot by Parayko, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 3:10Shot by Tatar, saved by Binnington
  38. P2 3:44Shot by Makar, saved by Binnington
  39. P2 6:42Shot by Krug, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 6:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington
  41. P2 7:17Shot by Faulk, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 9:21Shot by Makar, saved by Binnington
  43. P2 10:21Thomas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wood, Toews, Colton, Makar, O'Connor · STL Faulk, Krug, Buchnevich, Kapanen, Thomas

  44. P2 11:05Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington5v4
  45. P2 11:09Shot by Rantanen, saved by Binnington5v4
  46. P2 11:32Shot by Makar, saved by Binnington5v4
  47. P2 11:52Goal by Buchnevich (Sundqvist, Parayko)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johansen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · STL Leddy, Parayko, Sundqvist, Buchnevich

  48. P2 13:10Drouin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Tatar, Manson, Olofsson, O'Connor · STL Faulk, Hayes, Krug, Vrana, Kyrou

  49. P2 14:43Shot by Vrana, saved by Georgiev4v5
  50. P2 16:07Goal by Rantanen (Makar, MacKinnon)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · STL Schenn, Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Kapanen

  51. P2 17:13Shot by Kapanen, saved by Georgiev
  52. P2 18:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington
  53. P2 19:53Shot by Toews, saved by Binnington
  54. P2 19:58Tatar: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tatar, Johansen, Drouin, Toews, Girard · STL Leddy, Parayko, Sundqvist, Blais, Neighbours

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:17Shot by Kyrou, saved by Georgiev4v5
  58. P3 0:39Shot by Makar, saved by Binnington4v5
  59. P3 1:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Georgiev4v5
  60. P3 1:20Goal by Buchnevich (Thomas, Schenn)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Nichushkin, Girard · STL Schenn, Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas

  61. P3 1:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Binnington
  62. P3 2:09Shot by Kapanen, saved by Georgiev
  63. P3 2:12Makar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · STL Faulk, Hayes, Saad, Krug, Kapanen

  64. P3 2:49Goal by Schenn (Thomas, Kyrou)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Olofsson, Girard, O'Connor · STL Schenn, Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas

  65. P3 5:05Shot by Saad, saved by Prosvetov
  66. P3 5:27Shot by Faulk, saved by Prosvetov
  67. P3 5:37Shot by Neighbours, saved by Prosvetov
  68. P3 5:55Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Prosvetov
  69. P3 6:25Shot by Rantanen, saved by Binnington
  70. P3 6:43Shot by Kyrou, saved by Prosvetov
  71. P3 7:24Shot by Schenn, saved by Prosvetov
  72. P3 8:14Shot by Vrana, saved by Prosvetov
  73. P3 8:42Shot by Johansen, saved by Binnington
  74. P3 9:01Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Prosvetov
  75. P3 9:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Binnington
  76. P3 9:40Shot by Saad, saved by Prosvetov
  77. P3 9:49Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Binnington
  78. P3 11:10Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Prosvetov
  79. P3 11:43Shot by Wood, saved by Binnington
  80. P3 12:47Toropchenko: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Manson, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Tufte · STL Schenn, Faulk, Saad, Krug, Toropchenko

  81. P3 14:15Shot by Toews, saved by Binnington5v4
  82. P3 14:16Shot by Colton, saved by Binnington5v4
  83. P3 14:17Shot by Colton, saved by Binnington5v4
  84. P3 14:18Shot by Byram, saved by Binnington5v4
  85. P3 14:45Shot by Colton, saved by Binnington5v4
  86. P3 15:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Binnington
  87. P3 15:20Hayes: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · STL Faulk, Hayes, Krug, Vrana, Kyrou

  88. P3 15:57Goal by Buchnevich (Thomas)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · STL Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich, Thomas

  89. P3 19:09Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Prosvetov
  90. P3 19:10Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Prosvetov
  91. P3 19:11Goal by Toropchenko (Sundqvist)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Wood, Olofsson, Girard, Byram · STL Faulk, Krug, Sundqvist, Vrana, Toropchenko

  92. P3 19:32Goal by Johnson (Drouin)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Manson, Drouin, Nichushkin · STL Faulk, Krug, Sundqvist, Vrana, Toropchenko

  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final