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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 12, 2023·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Dallas Stars 8, Minnesota Wild 3

Away

Dallas Stars

8

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 75% of the time.

MIN winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Pavelski, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 0:50Duhaime: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Mermis, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Faksa, Robertson, Heiskanen, Lundkvist

  4. P1 0:56Shot by Pavelski, saved by Fleury4v5
  5. P1 0:57Goal by Pavelski (Heiskanen, Robertson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Eriksson Ek · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  6. P1 1:57Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 1:59Shot by Benn, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 4:33Shot by Brodin, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 6:08Shot by Robertson, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Dadonov, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 7:46Shot by Suter, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 8:14Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Johansson, Mermis, Boldy, Rossi · DAL Smith, Hakanpää, Faksa, Steel, Harley

  13. P1 8:19Shot by Boldy, saved by Oettinger5v4
  14. P1 8:20Shot by Boldy, saved by Oettinger5v4
  15. P1 8:53Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Oettinger5v4
  16. P1 9:49Goal by Faksa, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Maroon, Johansson, Hartman, Kaprizov, Lettieri · DAL Suter, Faksa, Steel, Heiskanen

  17. P1 9:50Shot by Lindell, saved by Fleury5v4
  18. P1 10:07Shot by Hartman, saved by Oettinger5v4
  19. P1 10:38Goal by Duhaime, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Duhaime, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley

  20. P1 10:52Goal by Duchene (Marchment, Seguin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Hartman, Kaprizov, Faber · DAL Suter, Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen

  21. P1 13:37Dewar: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Mermis, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Suter, Smith, Faksa, Steel, Heiskanen

  22. P1 13:37Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Mermis, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Suter, Smith, Faksa, Steel, Heiskanen

  23. P1 13:41Shot by Mermis, saved by Oettinger
  24. P1 13:59Shot by Marchment, saved by Fleury
  25. P1 14:46Shot by Harley, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 16:09Suter: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Maroon, Brodin, Kaprizov, Lettieri, Faber · DAL Suter, Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Heiskanen

  27. P1 16:13Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Oettinger5v4
  28. P1 17:07Shot by Johansson, saved by Oettinger5v4
  29. P1 18:03Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Oettinger5v4
  30. P1 18:06Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Oettinger5v4
  31. P1 19:12Goal by Lettieri (Rossi, Brodin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Lettieri, Rossi · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley

  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:25Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 0:45Middleton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Maroon, Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Eriksson Ek · DAL Pavelski, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley

  36. P2 0:51Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Oettinger4v5
  37. P2 2:34Goal by Johnston (Duchene, Seguin)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Mermis · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Marchment, Lundkvist, Johnston

  38. P2 3:14Shot by Bogosian, saved by Oettinger
  39. P2 3:19Shot by Faber, saved by Oettinger
  40. P2 4:06Shot by Boldy, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 4:22Shot by Robertson, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 4:56Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 5:37Shot by Duhaime, saved by Oettinger
  44. P2 7:40Shot by Boldy, saved by Oettinger
  45. P2 9:15Shot by Johnston, saved by Fleury
  46. P2 9:46Shot by Duhaime, saved by Oettinger
  47. P2 10:09Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Oettinger
  48. P2 10:52Dewar: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Mermis, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Smith, Hakanpää, Faksa, Steel, Harley

  49. P2 11:00Shot by Pavelski, saved by Fleury4v5
  50. P2 12:07Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Fleury4v5
  51. P2 12:09Shot by Dadonov, saved by Fleury4v5
  52. P2 12:11Goal by Dadonov (Johnston, Lundkvist)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Middleton, Duhaime, Lettieri, Faber · DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Seguin, Lundkvist, Johnston

  53. P2 12:54Shot by Steel, saved by Fleury
  54. P2 13:42Johansson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi, Faber · DAL Duchene, Seguin, Hakanpää, Marchment, Heiskanen

  55. P2 14:21Shot by Robertson, saved by Fleury4v5
  56. P2 15:05Robertson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Middleton, Lettieri, Boldy, Faber · DAL Duchene, Marchment, Robertson, Lundkvist, Johnston

  57. P2 15:59Goal by Zuccarello (Kaprizov, Boldy)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Boldy, Rossi · DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel

  58. P2 17:28Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury
  59. P2 18:14Duhaime: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Hintz, Robertson, Harley

  60. P2 18:14Duhaime: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Hintz, Robertson, Harley

  61. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:57Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Fleury4v5
  64. P3 1:02Goal by Robertson (Heiskanen, Benn)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Eriksson Ek · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  65. P3 1:40Shot by Johnston, saved by Fleury4v5
  66. P3 1:51Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Fleury4v5
  67. P3 2:07Shot by Seguin, saved by Fleury4v5
  68. P3 3:09Goal by Robertson (Heiskanen, Hintz)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Brodin, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  69. P3 5:56Shot by Hintz, saved by Fleury
  70. P3 6:16Fleury: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Middleton, Lettieri, Dewar · DAL Pavelski, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  71. P3 6:28Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Fleury4v5
  72. P3 7:39Shot by Benn, saved by Fleury4v5
  73. P3 9:50Shot by Boldy, saved by Oettinger
  74. P3 10:54Shot by Dadonov, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 15:30Faksa: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Brodin, Lettieri, Dewar, Faber · DAL Smith, Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Steel

  76. P3 16:31Shot by Lettieri, saved by Oettinger5v4
  77. P3 17:11Seguin: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Rossi · DAL Suter, Seguin, Lindell, Steel

  78. P3 17:20Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Oettinger5v3
  79. P3 17:25Shot by Brodin, saved by Oettinger5v3
  80. P3 17:33Shot by Lindell, saved by Fleury5v4
  81. P3 17:44Shot by Foligno, saved by Oettinger5v4
  82. P3 17:57Goal by Johnston (Benn)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Middleton, Lettieri, Dewar, Rossi, Faber · DAL Benn, Hakanpää, Lindell, Johnston

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final