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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 15, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

New York Islanders 3, Vancouver Canucks 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 84% of the time.

VAN winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Pulock, saved by Demko
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Demko
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Romanov, saved by Demko
  6. P1 2:32Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 2:41Shot by Lafferty, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 3:51Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 5:43Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 6:49Shot by Romanov, saved by Demko
  11. P1 7:01Cole: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Miller, Di Giuseppe, Boeser, Hronek · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Romanov

  12. P1 7:06Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Demko4v5
  13. P1 7:30Goal by Engvall (Wahlstrom, Aho)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Blueger, Joshua, Hughes · NYI Lee, Pageau, Engvall, Aho, Wahlstrom

  14. P1 8:05Shot by Pulock, saved by Demko
  15. P1 8:37Cole: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Cole, Friedman, Lafferty, Beauvillier, Hoglander · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Dobson

  16. P1 8:43Shot by Palmieri, saved by Demko4v5
  17. P1 8:50Shot by Nelson, saved by Demko4v5
  18. P1 8:52Goal by Nelson (Dobson, Barzal)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Hughes · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  19. P1 10:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  20. P1 11:02Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 11:04Shot by Kuzmenko, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 12:14Shot by Friedman, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 12:39Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 12:40Shot by Hoglander, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 13:58Shot by Horvat, saved by Demko
  26. P1 14:37Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 14:49Shot by Garland, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 18:13Shot by Juulsen, saved by Sorokin
  29. P1 19:05Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Sorokin
  30. P1 19:07Shot by Lafferty, saved by Sorokin
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:35Shot by Dobson, saved by Demko
  34. P2 0:46Shot by Horvat, saved by Demko
  35. P2 0:57Shot by Dobson, saved by Demko
  36. P2 1:28Shot by Cole, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 1:38Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 1:42Shot by Cole, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 1:51Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 1:52Shot by Joshua, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 2:51Clutterbuck: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Friedman, Lafferty, Beauvillier, Hoglander · NYI Clutterbuck, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  42. P2 4:39Goal by Miller (Pettersson, Kuzmenko)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko · NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Pulock, Romanov

  43. P2 7:18Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 7:31Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 8:33Goal by Horvat (Barzal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Di Giuseppe, Boeser, Hronek, Hughes · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Aho, Holmstrom

  46. P2 8:54Shot by Lafferty, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 9:12Shot by Dobson, saved by Demko
  48. P2 9:24Dobson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Joshua, Juulsen, Garland, Hronek · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Engvall, Dobson

  49. P2 11:03Goal by Boeser (Miller, Hughes)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes, Kuzmenko · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov

  50. P2 12:52Shot by Palmieri, saved by Demko
  51. P2 12:58Shot by Romanov, saved by Demko
  52. P2 13:12Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 13:41Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 13:43Shot by Joshua, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 14:08Lee: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Blueger, Friedman, Joshua, Garland · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Aho, Wahlstrom

  56. P2 16:03Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  57. P2 16:45Shot by Nelson, saved by Demko
  58. P2 17:53Shot by Aho, saved by Demko
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:42Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  62. P3 1:01Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 1:06Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 1:36Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Blueger, Friedman, Joshua, Garland · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Aho, Wahlstrom

  65. P3 3:07Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin5v4
  66. P3 3:58Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 4:04Shot by Blueger, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 6:22Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  69. P3 6:45Pageau: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Hughes, Mikheyev, Kuzmenko · NYI Martin, Pageau, Aho, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  70. P3 6:45Dobson: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Pettersson, Hughes, Mikheyev, Kuzmenko · NYI Martin, Pageau, Aho, Wahlstrom, Dobson

  71. P3 7:36Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin5v3
  72. P3 7:42Shot by Pelech, saved by Demko5v3
  73. P3 8:09Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin5v3
  74. P3 8:30Goal by Hronek (Hughes, Boeser)5v3+31 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Hronek, Pettersson, Hughes · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat

  75. P3 10:23Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  76. P3 11:02Shot by Pulock, saved by Demko
  77. P3 13:11Shot by Palmieri, saved by Demko
  78. P3 15:12Shot by Lee, saved by Demko
  79. P3 16:02Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  80. P3 16:34Shot by Aho, saved by Demko
  81. P3 16:39Shot by Mayfield, saved by Demko
  82. P3 17:28Shot by Palmieri, saved by Demko
  83. P3 18:30Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin
  84. P3 19:02Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  85. P3 19:56Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  86. P3 19:58Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. OT 0:00Period start
  89. OT 1:36Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin3v3
  90. OT 2:15Shot by Hughes, saved by Sorokin3v3
  91. OT 2:36Goal by Hughes (Miller, Boeser)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Boeser, Hughes · NYI Pelech, Horvat, Barzal

  92. OT 2:36Period end3v3
  93. OT 2:36Final4v4