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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 18, 2023·Avicii Arena, StockholmNeutral site

Minnesota Wild 1, Ottawa Senators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:05Shot by Norris, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 0:46Shot by Middleton, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 0:52Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 1:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 2:34Shot by Faber, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 2:41Shot by Brodin, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 4:30Shot by Sanderson, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 4:49Batherson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Batherson, Sanderson, Jarventie, Zub · MIN Maroon, Bogosian, Foligno, Merrill, Lettieri

  11. P1 5:20Shot by Boldy, saved by Forsberg4v5
  12. P1 6:23Shot by Rossi, saved by Forsberg4v5
  13. P1 8:19Shot by Johansson, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 8:38Boldy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chychrun, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk · MIN Johansson, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  15. P1 9:09Shot by Chychrun, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  16. P1 10:46Shot by Kubalik, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 11:13Shot by Batherson, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 11:33Shot by Sanderson, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 12:10Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 13:29Shot by MacEwen, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P1 13:43Shot by Petan, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 14:19Middleton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, MacEwen, Kelly, Sanderson, Zub · MIN Maroon, Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Lettieri

  23. P1 14:19MacEwen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, MacEwen, Kelly, Sanderson, Zub · MIN Maroon, Spurgeon, Foligno, Middleton, Lettieri

  24. P1 14:55Shot by Kubalik, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P1 17:19Johansson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Chychrun, Brannstrom, Batherson, Kelly · MIN Bogosian, Johansson, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  26. P1 19:22Shot by Faber, saved by Forsberg
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 3:38Brannstrom: Penalty shot covering puck in crease (0 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Tarasenko, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk · MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  31. P2 3:38Shot by Johansson, saved by Forsbergother
  32. P2 4:53Shot by Zub, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 4:54Shot by Joseph, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 6:22Goal by Rossi (Faber, Zuccarello)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson, Jarventie · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber

  35. P2 7:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 8:15Shot by Faber, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 8:42Shot by Johansson, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 8:46Shot by Joseph, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 9:26Shot by Brodin, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 10:00Jarventie: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chartier, Batherson, Sanderson, Zub · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Middleton, Kaprizov, Lettieri, Rossi

  41. P2 12:41Shot by Faber, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 13:11Lettieri: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chartier, Chychrun, Batherson, Bernard-Docker · MIN Maroon, Bogosian, Foligno, Merrill, Lettieri

  43. P2 13:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  44. P2 13:34Shot by Sanderson, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  45. P2 13:44Shot by Stützle, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  46. P2 16:18Shot by Rossi, saved by Forsberg
  47. P2 18:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:16Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 2:13Shot by Kelly, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P3 2:53Shot by Duhaime, saved by Forsberg
  53. P3 3:22Goal by Brannstrom (Forsberg, Hamonic)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Norris, Brannstrom, Stützle · MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy

  54. P3 4:38Shot by Joseph, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 5:14Joseph: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Joseph, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber

  56. P3 5:51Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Forsberg4v5
  57. P3 6:49Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Forsberg4v5
  58. P3 6:58Shot by Brodin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  59. P3 7:09Shot by Petan, saved by Forsberg4v5
  60. P3 7:21Maroon: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chartier, Joseph, Brannstrom, Kelly · MIN Maroon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Petan, Rossi

  61. P3 9:04Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  62. P3 9:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  63. P3 9:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Forsberg
  64. P3 10:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 10:38Shot by Chychrun, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 10:56Batherson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Chartier, Brannstrom, Batherson · MIN Maroon, Bogosian, Foligno, Merrill, Lettieri

  67. P3 13:56Shot by Norris, saved by Gustavsson
  68. P3 15:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 16:36Shot by Chychrun, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 18:40Shot by Boldy, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 3:59Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Forsberg3v3
  74. OT 4:13Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Gustavsson3v3
  75. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Shot by Stützle, saved by Gustavssonother
  78. SO Shot by Batherson, saved by Gustavssonother
  79. SO Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Forsbergother
  80. SO Goal by Norris, unassistedother
  81. SO Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Forsbergother
  82. SO Period endother
  83. SO Finalother