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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 18, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Edmonton Oilers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

Edmonton Oilers

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 81% of the time.

TBL winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 2:26Shot by Desharnais, saved by Johansson
  4. P1 2:39Shot by Gagner, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 3:24Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 3:27Bouchard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Motte, Cernak, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Jeannot · EDM Kane, Ekholm, Hyman, Draisaitl, Bouchard

  7. P1 3:39Goal by Ryan (Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan

  8. P1 3:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner5v4
  9. P1 4:24Shot by Point, saved by Skinner5v4
  10. P1 5:38Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 5:46Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 6:21Shot by Hyman, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 6:28Shot by Brown, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 6:33Shot by Bouchard, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 6:46Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 7:01Shot by Bouchard, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 8:28Shot by Gagner, saved by Johansson
  18. P1 8:31Goal by Hamblin, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Paul, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet · EDM Gagner, Kulak, Erne, Desharnais, Hamblin

  19. P1 8:41Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Raddysh, Koepke · EDM Kulak, Foegele, Ryan, Desharnais, McLeod

  20. P1 8:41Desharnais: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Glendening, Raddysh, Koepke · EDM Kulak, Foegele, Ryan, Desharnais, McLeod

  21. P1 8:46Shot by Foegele, saved by Johansson
  22. P1 10:19Hedman: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Brown, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  23. P1 11:04Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Johansson4v5
  24. P1 11:50Shot by McDavid, saved by Johansson4v5
  25. P1 13:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner
  26. P1 13:13Ceci: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix · EDM Ceci, Nurse, Foegele, Ryan, Hamblin

  27. P1 14:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner5v4
  28. P1 15:02Shot by Jeannot, saved by Skinner5v4
  29. P1 15:27Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  30. P1 15:43Sergachev: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · EDM Kane, Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, McDavid

  31. P1 16:43Shot by Bouchard, saved by Johansson4v5
  32. P1 17:27Shot by Nurse, saved by Johansson4v5
  33. P1 17:54Shot by McLeod, saved by Johansson
  34. P1 18:16Nurse: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · EDM Kulak, Nurse, Foegele, Ryan, McLeod

  35. P1 18:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Skinner5v4
  36. P1 19:09Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Point)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Foegele, Desharnais

  37. P1 19:55Shot by McDavid, saved by Johansson
  38. P1 0:00Period end
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:38Eyssimont: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Motte, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Jeannot, Perbix · EDM Kane, Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl

  41. P2 2:44Shot by Gagner, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 7:55Shot by Ekholm, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 9:08Shot by Motte, saved by Skinner
  44. P2 10:59Shot by Ryan, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 12:36Cernak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Watson, Glendening, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · EDM Kane, Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl

  46. P2 12:36Ceci: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Watson, Glendening, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · EDM Kane, Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl

  47. P2 12:56Goal by Kucherov (Sergachev, Raddysh)4v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev · EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  48. P2 15:55Goal by Ryan (Foegele, Ekholm)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Jeannot · EDM Ceci, Nurse, Foegele, Ryan, Hamblin

  49. P2 17:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner
  50. P2 17:27Shot by Ekholm, saved by Johansson
  51. P2 17:53Shot by Bouchard, saved by Johansson
  52. P2 18:44Shot by Ceci, saved by Johansson
  53. P2 19:04Shot by Foegele, saved by Johansson
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:15Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  57. P3 3:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner
  58. P3 3:54Goal by Jeannot (Eyssimont, Sergachev)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Motte, Cernak, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Jeannot · EDM Kane, Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bouchard

  59. P3 5:51Shot by Perbix, saved by Skinner
  60. P3 6:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner
  61. P3 7:08Hagel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · EDM Ekholm, Brown, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  62. P3 7:31Hyman: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  63. P3 8:04Goal by Bouchard (Nugent-Hopkins)4v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, Bouchard

  64. P3 8:41Shot by Ceci, saved by Johansson4v4
  65. P3 9:28Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Point)5v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan

  66. P3 10:07Goal by Glendening (Koepke, Raddysh)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TBL de Haan, Glendening, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet, Koepke · EDM Gagner, Kulak, Foegele, Desharnais, McLeod

  67. P3 10:13Shot by Ekholm, saved by Johansson
  68. P3 10:39Shot by Cernak, saved by Skinner
  69. P3 10:52Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Johansson
  70. P3 11:32Shot by McDavid, saved by Johansson
  71. P3 11:35Shot by Nurse, saved by Johansson
  72. P3 11:56Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  73. P3 11:57Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  74. P3 11:58Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  75. P3 12:17Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  76. P3 12:40Shot by McLeod, saved by Johansson
  77. P3 13:14Shot by Bouchard, saved by Johansson
  78. P3 13:47Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  79. P3 14:53Watson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL de Haan, Watson, Paul, Raddysh, Koepke · EDM Gagner, Ekholm, Erne, Hamblin, Bouchard

  80. P3 15:09Shot by Hyman, saved by Johansson4v5
  81. P3 17:20Shot by Kane, saved by Johansson
  82. P3 18:00Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner
  83. P3 18:58Shot by Hyman, saved by Johansson5v6
  84. P3 19:05Goal by Sergachev (Paul)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev · EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final