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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 19, 2023·Avicii Arena, StockholmNeutral site

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 64% of the time.

MIN winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Brodin, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:53Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:37Goal by Merrill (Rossi, Zuccarello)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Merrill, Kaprizov, Rossi · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Lagesson, Benoit, Robertson

  5. P1 3:02Shot by Merrill, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:28Shot by Boldy, saved by Woll
  7. P1 5:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 5:24Zuccarello: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Merrill, Kaprizov, Rossi · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, McMann

  9. P1 5:32Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Woll4v5
  10. P1 6:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Fleury4v5
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Bogosian, saved by Woll
  12. P1 8:04Shot by Bogosian, saved by Woll
  13. P1 9:37Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  14. P1 9:46Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  15. P1 10:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 10:08Shot by McCabe, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 10:35Shot by Marner, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 11:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 11:59Shot by McCabe, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 12:38Spurgeon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Merrill, Gaudreau, Boldy · TOR Lagesson, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  21. P1 12:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Fleury4v5
  22. P1 12:43Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Rielly)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  23. P1 13:34Shot by Lagesson, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 13:47Shot by Robertson, saved by Fleury
  25. P1 14:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 16:17Shot by McCabe, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 16:29Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Woll
  28. P1 18:23Goal by Knies (Marner, Giordano)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 4:08Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  32. P2 4:10Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  33. P2 4:11McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, McMann

  34. P2 4:17Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Woll5v4
  35. P2 5:27Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Woll5v4
  36. P2 5:56Shot by Hartman, saved by Woll5v4
  37. P2 5:57Shot by Johansson, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 7:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 9:06Brodie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Maroon, Foligno, Middleton, Dewar, Faber · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Domi, Marner, Matthews

  40. P2 12:06Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Woll
  41. P2 12:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Woll
  42. P2 14:07Shot by Brodie, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 14:13Marner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Middleton, Eriksson Ek · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  44. P2 14:32Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Woll5v4
  45. P2 17:08Shot by Hartman, saved by Woll
  46. P2 17:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 19:04Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Woll
  48. P2 19:39Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 19:51Shot by McCabe, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:37Shot by Robertson, saved by Fleury
  53. P3 4:07Shot by Johansson, saved by Woll
  54. P3 4:22Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Marner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  55. P3 5:14Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Woll
  56. P3 5:19Shot by Brodin, saved by Woll
  57. P3 5:58Shot by Duhaime, saved by Woll
  58. P3 6:10Goal by Middleton (Foligno, Eriksson Ek)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Middleton, Eriksson Ek · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  59. P3 8:03Shot by Rossi, saved by Woll
  60. P3 8:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 8:42Goal by Zuccarello (Faber, Brodin)+31 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander

  62. P3 9:52Shot by Domi, saved by Fleury
  63. P3 10:17Shot by Merrill, saved by Woll
  64. P3 11:23Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Woll
  65. P3 11:28Shot by Brodin, saved by Woll
  66. P3 15:42Shot by Faber, saved by Woll
  67. P3 18:48Shot by Dewar, saved by Woll
  68. P3 18:50Shot by Dewar, saved by Woll
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:27Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll3v3
  72. OT 0:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Fleury3v3
  73. OT 3:09Goal by Nylander (Rielly)3v3+55 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Brodin, Rossi · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  74. OT 3:09Period end3v3
  75. OT 3:09Final4v4