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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 20, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Tatar, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros5v6
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros5v6
  5. P1 1:13Nyquist: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier · COL Johnson, Johansen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  6. P1 4:13Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 4:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 5:25Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  10. P1 7:14Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  11. P1 11:45Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 13:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  13. P1 13:42Wood: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Tomasino, Smith · COL Manson, Wood, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Byram

  14. P1 14:00Goal by Cogliano (Nichushkin, Makar)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Glass · COL Cogliano, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  15. P1 14:27Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev5v4
  16. P1 14:48Barrie: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sissons, Sherwood, Tomasino, Parssinen · COL Cogliano, Manson, Toews, O'Connor

  17. P1 14:58Shot by Parssinen, saved by Georgiev4v4
  18. P1 15:03Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev4v4
  19. P1 15:05Shot by Sissons, saved by Georgiev4v4
  20. P1 15:30Colton: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Carrier · COL Drouin, Colton, Makar, Byram

  21. P1 15:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Georgiev4v3
  22. P1 15:44Shot by Josi, saved by Georgiev4v4
  23. P1 17:12Josi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Forsberg, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro · COL Tatar, Manson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Byram

  24. P1 19:42Goal by Forsberg (Glass, Tomasino)6v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Forsberg, Fabbro, Glass, Stastney, Tomasino, Parssinen · COL Johnson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor, Byram

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:09Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  28. P2 1:21Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  29. P2 1:49Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  30. P2 3:04Shot by McCarron, saved by Georgiev
  31. P2 3:10Shot by Josi, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 3:56Goal by Lauzon (Nyquist, O'Reilly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  33. P2 5:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Saros
  34. P2 6:09Shot by Byram, saved by Saros
  35. P2 6:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 6:56Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  37. P2 7:43Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
  38. P2 8:42Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  39. P2 8:55Goal by Toews (MacKinnon, Makar)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon, Foudy · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  40. P2 9:54Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Fabbro, Glass, Sherwood, Parssinen · COL Johnson, Tatar, Johansen, Manson, Nichushkin

  41. P2 11:52Shot by Parssinen, saved by Georgiev5v4
  42. P2 13:05Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Jones, Makar, Kiviranta

  43. P2 13:33Goal by Nichushkin (Makar, MacKinnon)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH O'Reilly, Lauzon, Trenin, Carrier · COL Johansen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  44. P2 14:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  45. P2 16:08Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 17:33Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Saros
  47. P2 17:58Foudy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sissons, Trenin, Foudy, Stastney · COL Tatar, Manson, Drouin, Olofsson, Byram

  48. P2 19:10Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros4v5
  49. P2 19:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros4v5
  50. P2 19:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:12Shot by Drouin, saved by Saros
  54. P3 0:19Shot by Johansen, saved by Saros
  55. P3 1:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  56. P3 3:14Shot by Tomasino, saved by Georgiev
  57. P3 4:09Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
  58. P3 5:12Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  59. P3 6:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Georgiev
  60. P3 6:18Shot by Lauzon, saved by Georgiev
  61. P3 6:53Shot by Forsberg, saved by Georgiev
  62. P3 7:02Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  63. P3 8:29Shot by Nyquist, saved by Georgiev
  64. P3 11:16Shot by Josi, saved by Georgiev
  65. P3 13:30Rantanen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Trenin, Carrier, Tomasino · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar, Byram

  66. P3 13:35Shot by Makar, saved by Saros5v4
  67. P3 14:04Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev5v4
  68. P3 14:17Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev5v4
  69. P3 17:44Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 18:38Shot by Josi, saved by Georgiev6v5
  71. P3 19:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Georgiev6v5
  72. P3 19:22Goal by Forsberg (Nyquist, Sissons)6v5+49 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier · COL Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Byram, Kiviranta

  73. P3 19:38Goal by Trenin (Smith)+46 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Lauzon, Trenin, Carrier, Parssinen, Smith · COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar, O'Connor

  74. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  75. P3 0:00Final5v6