Mon, Nov 20, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Los Angeles Kings 4, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 212 | 12 | 111 | 425 |
| ARI | 08 | 19 | 014 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:36LAKTrevor MooreSHAssists: Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 8:20LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 15:31LAKTrevor MooreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.26 xG3–0
- P2 18:55ARILawson CrouseAssists: Nick Bjugstad, Matias Maccelli · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P3 16:15LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Alex Laferriere, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:47LAKJaret Anderson-Dolan: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:02ARISean Durzi: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:57ARIJoshua Brown: Instigator2 min
- P1 17:57ARIJoshua Brown: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:57LAKAndreas Englund: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:57ARIJoshua Brown: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 4:36LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:15LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:52ARIMathew Dumba: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:23ARITravis Boyd: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 7:51LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 18:49LAKPierre-Luc Dubois: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore8:27
xG 0.65–0.18 (78%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Lewis – Grundstrom – Anderson-Dolan6:23
xG 0.45–0.20 (70%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Dubois – Kaliyev – Laferriere9:06
xG 0.13–0.22 (37%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:59
xG 0.13–0.68 (16%)attempts 4–19goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Roy9:42
xG 0.77–0.55 (58%)attempts 8–16goals 1–0
- Doughty – Gavrikov2:58
xG 0.19–0.02 (89%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Roy – Anderson3:12
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli7:43
xG 0.70–0.32 (69%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Kerfoot – O'Brien – Kelemen5:01
xG 0.15–0.13 (54%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Kerfoot – Schmaltz – Keller2:27
xG 0.02–0.08 (19%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller7:49
xG 0.28–0.40 (41%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Moser10:12
xG 0.60–0.29 (67%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Dumba – Stecher4:28
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Stecher8:09
xG 0.45–0.39 (54%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).