Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 22, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New Jersey Devils 0, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Vanecek
  3. P1 1:03Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Sprong, saved by Vanecek
  5. P1 3:38Shot by Sprong, saved by Vanecek
  6. P1 4:03Shot by Walman, saved by Vanecek
  7. P1 4:15Shot by Lazar, saved by Lyon
  8. P1 4:22Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lyon
  9. P1 6:39Holtz: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Walman, Veleno, Seider · NJD Palat, Marino, McLeod, Bahl, Holtz

  10. P1 6:53Shot by McLeod, saved by Lyon5v4
  11. P1 7:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Vanecek5v4
  12. P1 8:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Vanecek5v4
  13. P1 10:06Shot by Marino, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 11:14Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 15:46Shot by Seider, saved by Vanecek
  16. P1 16:25Shot by Toffoli, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 16:58Goal by Raymond (Fabbri, Compher)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Compher, Fabbri, Raymond · NJD Smith, Toffoli, Marino, Bratt, Mercer

  18. P1 17:18Goal by Larkin (DeBrincat)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider · NJD Haula, Miller, Lazar, Hughes, Hughes

  19. P1 18:10Goal by Fabbri (Sprong, Veleno)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Fabbri, Walman, Sprong, Veleno · NJD Toffoli, Siegenthaler, Marino, Bratt, Mercer

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:57Shot by Toffoli, saved by Lyon
  23. P2 1:55Shot by Sprong, saved by Vanecek
  24. P2 2:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Vanecek
  25. P2 3:57Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vanecek
  26. P2 4:59Shot by Hughes, saved by Lyon
  27. P2 7:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Vanecek
  28. P2 7:05Bahl: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Fabbri, Raymond · NJD Willman, Bastian, Bahl, Hughes, Hughes

  29. P2 8:14Shot by Lazar, saved by Lyon5v4
  30. P2 8:44Shot by Sprong, saved by Vanecek5v4
  31. P2 9:05Goal by Seider (Sprong, Walman)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Fabbri, Walman, Sprong, Seider · NJD Palat, Miller, Siegenthaler, Bratt

  32. P2 10:19Shot by Haula, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 11:00Shot by Bratt, saved by Lyon
  34. P2 12:14Shot by Bahl, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 12:16Shot by Haula, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 15:07Shot by Fischer, saved by Vanecek
  37. P2 16:11Shot by Walman, saved by Vanecek
  38. P2 16:13Shot by Seider, saved by Vanecek
  39. P2 17:17Shot by Raymond, saved by Vanecek
  40. P2 17:34Larkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Gostisbehere, Copp, Larkin, Raymond · NJD Haula, Hamilton, Lazar, McLeod, Hughes

  41. P2 19:33Shot by Copp, saved by Vanecek4v5
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:20Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vanecek
  45. P3 1:01Shot by Larkin, saved by Vanecek
  46. P3 1:36Shot by Bastian, saved by Lyon
  47. P3 4:35Haula: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Walman, Fischer, Seider · NJD Haula, Siegenthaler, Marino, Bastian, McLeod

  48. P3 4:36Shot by Sprong, saved by Vanecek5v4
  49. P3 7:32Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vanecek
  50. P3 9:11Hamilton: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Veleno, Seider, Raymond · NJD Toffoli, Hamilton, Hughes, Holtz, Hughes

  51. P3 11:26Shot by Miller, saved by Lyon5v6
  52. P3 11:53Perron: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Gostisbehere, Larkin, DeBrincat · NJD Toffoli, Palat, Hamilton, Miller, Marino, Hughes

  53. P3 12:22Shot by Seider, saved by Vanecek4v5
  54. P3 17:04Shot by Walman, saved by Vanecek
  55. P3 19:41Shot by Fischer, saved by Vanecek
  56. P3 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Final