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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 25, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 1:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Woll
  5. P1 1:36Shot by Gregor, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 2:14Shot by Carter, saved by Woll
  7. P1 2:35Shot by Crosby, saved by Woll
  8. P1 2:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  9. P1 2:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  10. P1 3:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 3:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 3:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 3:59Goal by Bertuzzi (Tavares, Rielly)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Karlsson, Nieto, Pettersson, Acciari · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  14. P1 4:27Goal by Guentzel (O'Connor, Crosby)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Guentzel, Graves, O'Connor · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  15. P1 6:22Shot by Carter, saved by Woll
  16. P1 6:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 7:16Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 7:46Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 7:48Goal by Knies (Jarnkrok)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Guentzel, Pettersson, O'Connor · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Matthews, Knies

  20. P1 9:26Shot by Malkin, saved by Woll
  21. P1 10:16Shot by Malkin, saved by Woll
  22. P1 10:42Shot by Zohorna, saved by Woll
  23. P1 12:18Ludvig: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Guentzel, Shea, Ludvig, O'Connor · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Domi, Lagesson, Robertson

  24. P1 13:28Shot by Eller, saved by Woll4v5
  25. P1 14:03Shot by Domi, saved by Jarry4v5
  26. P1 14:10Shot by Domi, saved by Jarry4v5
  27. P1 14:11Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry4v5
  28. P1 14:24Jarnkrok: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Guentzel, Pettersson, O'Connor · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Domi, Robertson

  29. P1 15:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Woll5v4
  30. P1 16:30Shot by Carter, saved by Woll
  31. P1 17:34Shot by Acciari, saved by Woll
  32. P1 17:35Shot by Acciari, saved by Woll
  33. P1 18:11Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  34. P1 18:23Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Jarry
  35. P1 18:35Shot by Domi, saved by Jarry
  36. P1 19:43Shot by Acciari, saved by Woll
  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 1:38Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 1:39Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 3:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 3:57Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  43. P2 4:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Woll
  44. P2 4:06Shot by O'Connor, saved by Woll
  45. P2 4:17Giordano: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Guentzel, Pettersson, O'Connor · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  46. P2 5:56Brodie: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Smith, Harkins, Zohorna · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews

  47. P2 6:34Shot by Crosby, saved by Woll5v4
  48. P2 6:44Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll5v4
  49. P2 10:01Goal by Acciari, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Nieto, Acciari, Shea, Nylander, Ludvig · TOR Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, Timmins, Robertson

  50. P2 10:37Graves: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Smith, Graves, Nylander · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  51. P2 11:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry4v5
  52. P2 11:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry4v5
  53. P2 14:07Shot by Malkin, saved by Woll
  54. P2 15:46Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry
  55. P2 17:17Shot by Eller, saved by Woll
  56. P2 17:23Shot by Eller, saved by Woll
  57. P2 18:24Shot by Graves, saved by Woll
  58. P2 18:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Woll
  59. P2 19:24Shot by Pettersson, saved by Woll
  60. P2 19:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Woll
  61. P2 19:32Goal by Karlsson (Letang, Carter)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Karlsson, Nieto, Acciari · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf

  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 1:56Zohorna: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Eller, Harkins, Shea, Ludvig, Zohorna · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Lagesson, Benoit, Robertson

  66. P3 3:56Shot by Knies, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 3:56Shot by Timmins, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 4:02Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 5:20Shot by Giordano, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 6:22Shot by Carter, saved by Woll
  71. P3 6:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 8:03Shot by Letang, saved by Woll
  73. P3 9:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 10:43Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jarry
  75. P3 12:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Jarry
  76. P3 13:31Shot by Letang, saved by Woll
  77. P3 15:00Shot by McCabe, saved by Jarry
  78. P3 16:36Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  79. P3 18:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Jarry5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final