Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 25, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderMarner–Matthews–KniesJarnkrok–Domi–RobertsonJarnkrok–Gregor–KampfNylander–Gregor–KampfBrodie–RiellyGiordano–McCabeLagesson–BenoitMcCabe–TimminsRielly–McCabeRielly–TimminsRielly–LagessonGiordano–RiellyBrodie–LagessonBrodie–TimminsTimmins–BenoitBrodie–McCabeGiordano–Brodie
Crosby–Guentzel–O'Connor3:590.17–0.165:300.66–0.100:420.07–0.023:520.30–0.203:440.27–0.060:450.10–0.140:420.00–0.130:480.18–0.001:120.07–0.180:410.05–0.00
Malkin–Smith–Nylander2:480.05–0.141:110.00–0.080:550.02–0.031:510.13–0.000:400.00–0.003:140.05–0.063:250.18–0.111:430.00–0.070:410.00–0.20
Carter–Nieto–Acciari2:160.01–0.372:570.16–0.220:480.02–0.000:430.02–0.000:460.00–0.301:160.04–0.181:090.00–0.000:370.02–0.000:420.00–0.000:430.01–0.04
Eller–Harkins–Zohorna1:200.25–0.001:330.06–0.000:310.18–0.000:360.00–0.000:490.25–0.000:390.16–0.000:500.06–0.00
Eller–Nieto–Acciari0:360.00–0.010:460.01–0.000:350.00–0.010:380.01–0.000:300.00–0.00
Malkin–Eller–Smith
Letang–Graves7:450.15–0.213:290.38–0.081:380.00–0.004:280.16–0.094:060.12–0.091:340.01–0.000:400.00–0.130:380.00–0.000:320.16–0.001:030.07–0.140:400.01–0.040:440.05–0.00
Karlsson–Pettersson2:020.08–0.396:010.46–0.451:370.00–0.231:230.12–0.020:400.00–0.004:030.14–0.763:490.25–0.071:560.13–0.351:130.00–0.000:520.02–0.00
Shea–Ludvig1:530.25–0.070:410.03–0.083:360.34–0.000:390.18–0.000:440.08–0.001:590.04–0.071:140.25–0.000:500.31–0.000:530.06–0.00
Graves–Pettersson0:410.00–0.090:420.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Letang–Pettersson0:310.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNylander FSmith FMalkin FO'Connor FCrosby FGuentzel FCarter FNieto FAcciari FZohorna FHarkins FEller FGraves DLetang DKarlsson DPettersson DShea DLudvig DJarry GBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FKampf FJarnkrok FGregor FMarner FMatthews FKnies FDomi FRobertson FRielly DBrodie DMcCabe DGiordano DBenoit DLagesson DTimmins DWoll G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3026:120:522:1954
William NylanderTOR2526:101:032:5173
Auston MatthewsTOR2324:151:033:3741
Morgan RiellyTOR2723:450:532:0173
Mitch MarnerTOR2323:261:013:2943
Marcus PetterssonPIT2523:250:561:5928
John TavaresTOR2221:350:592:5174
Sidney CrosbyPIT2421:260:542:0962
Erik KarlssonPIT2321:210:561:5455
Ryan GravesPIT2621:150:492:2232
Jake McCabeTOR2620:500:481:1033
Jake GuentzelPIT2420:340:512:0763
Tyler BertuzziTOR2218:320:512:0844
TJ BrodieTOR2618:090:421:1552
Drew O'ConnorPIT2518:030:431:1563
Matt NietoPIT2517:070:411:3116
Evgeni MalkinPIT2016:490:501:5241
Noel AcciariPIT2616:470:391:3017
Matthew KniesTOR2216:370:451:3312
Mark GiordanoTOR2115:300:441:2022
Alex NylanderPIT1915:020:471:5240
Reilly SmithPIT1914:280:461:4020
Calle JarnkrokTOR2214:210:391:1722
William LagessonTOR1712:320:441:2403
Jeff CarterPIT1812:080:401:3402
Ryan SheaPIT1711:480:421:2610
Lars EllerPIT1711:360:411:2103
Max DomiTOR1611:160:421:0630
Simon BenoitTOR1711:040:391:0613
John LudvigPIT1610:460:401:0700
Conor TimminsTOR1410:060:431:2231
Noah GregorTOR139:330:441:2103
Nick RobertsonTOR159:320:380:5630
David KampfTOR159:300:381:0906
Radim ZohornaPIT128:420:441:0800
Jansen HarkinsPIT96:380:441:0500